CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e1902b9e98cf1372036fdd0502a5b9f3c8de5545500e03afa55ec798917eb57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof ARCRED, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3088…2391backed ARCRED | 0c | 210,956$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked ARCRED | 44c | 9,106$3,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,988.31 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed ARCRED | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,924.97 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked ARCRED | 44c | 5,754$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.32 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ARCRED | 49c | 4,294$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088.4 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked ARCRED | 57c | 2,907$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,652.08 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5667…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 2,896$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.01 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 2,678$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.74 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ARCRED | 49c | 2,437$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.08 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…ffe0backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,891$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…4318backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,631$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 1,515$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.08 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,492$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.94 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…a80dbacked ARCRED | 42c | 1,446$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.33 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfa…7491backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,362$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.01 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ARCRED | 45c | 1,241$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc7…2259backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 1,126$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.45 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed ARCRED | 40c | 999.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb12…6a81backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 990.86$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.89 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 944$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.26 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5e…1468backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 881.22$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.74 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf85d…ab00backed Virtus.pro | 61c | 864.61$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 860$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.97 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked ARCRED | 26c | 789.58$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.65 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…e019backed ARCRED | 45c | 749.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 680$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8407…4589backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 674.78$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…f6c4backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 663.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.69 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed ARCRED | 46c | 659.61$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.42 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 648.07$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.07 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 578.18$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ARCRED | 45c | 559.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…d398backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 516.4$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…102abacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 510$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.3 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed ARCRED | 43c | 500.47$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Virtus.pro | 28c | 499.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.98 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 472.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 444.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 441$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb18…2571backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 427.27$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 401.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.63 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 383.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.07 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 376$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.85 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 375$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 369.43$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…2becbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 352$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 339.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.58 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ARCRED | 45c | 325.3$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 319$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…12a2backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 301.37$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Virtus.pro | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6766…0db2backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 290.89$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…dbf7backed ARCRED | 36c | 281.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 273.02$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.62 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 263.61$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed ARCRED | 46c | 262.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.14 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ARCRED | 45c | 258.81$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.46 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…9a1fbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 227$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.96 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked ARCRED | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 191 | 47.1%90 W · 101 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 216.58$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked ARCRED | 24c | 215.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5900…45ebbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 213.38$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed ARCRED | 43c | 213.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked ARCRED | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 191.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.85 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 189.44$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 189.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 184.66$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 174.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked ARCRED | 29c | 171.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.23 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 54c | 162.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 162.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.94 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 160.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.16 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ARCRED | 64c | 156.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.71 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ARCRED | 44c | 148.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 145$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ARCRED | 45c | 143.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 139.95$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Virtus.pro | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ARCRED | 45c | 138.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 135.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f47…b8f2backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 134.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 129.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…b692backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 121.82$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 120$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 116.36$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 111.07$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.87 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 109.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.39 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 109.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 390 | 38.5%150 W · 240 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 107.3$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 219 | 50.2%110 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…b34bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 102.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 100.35$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerARCRED won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs ARCRED (+1.5)ARCRED won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.