Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e721f7798bf637bf7857922cbcbd91b2c34f955017e63336ce888f0d61c504f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d82…9e66backed Yes | 33c | 607.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.47 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 21c | 605.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.43 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 66c | 378.79$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.38 | 517 | 62.3%322 W · 195 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 5c | 299.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked Yes | 28c | 248.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.02 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 73c | 215.08$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.96 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 15c | 194.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 67c | 189$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 11c | 172.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 59c | 166.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 35c | 160.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a8…c5b9backed Yes | 30c | 156.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 71c | 151.27$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 149.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 42c | 139.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 72c | 139.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 131.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 38c | 124$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 27c | 123.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.6 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 77c | 111.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 67c | 109.52$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 600 | 54.2%325 W · 275 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 43c | 109.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…c8ffbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 324 | 40.1%130 W · 194 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 30c | 99.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 28c | 99.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 43c | 98.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…4534backed Yes | 30c | 98.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 48c | 95.89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 70c | 93.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 30c | 91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 72c | 79.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 71c | 77.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 71.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 70.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 56c | 70.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56c…30f3backed Yes | 30c | 65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 64.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 19c | 64.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 68c | 62$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 29c | 60.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 19c | 56.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 69c | 56.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed Yes | 31c | 54.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…4beabacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 72c | 51.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca2…fa31backed Yes | 27c | 49.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed No | 72c | 48.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 73c | 48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…0174backed Yes | 52c | 47.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked No | 52c | 46.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 45.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…fb2fbacked No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 70c | 40.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e92…ad5bbacked No | 72c | 38.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 70c | 37.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 68c | 36.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…329ebacked Yes | 29c | 36.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 71c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 35.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 48c | 35.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 71c | 33.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d0…6972backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 229 | 59.8%137 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 65c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 52c | 27.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 77c | 26.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 69c | 25.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 67c | 22.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 67c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558b…f41bbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 286 | 60.8%174 W · 112 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0558…a8cdbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 118 | 67.8%80 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x734b…2a2cbacked No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…52e2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eab…2caabacked No | 70c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 445 | 67%298 W · 147 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x194b…2a11backed No | 70c | 19.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 288 | 66.3%191 W · 97 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 70c | 18.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 74c | 16.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…be40backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…dcf5backed No | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 23?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.