TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TNCof Phantom, TNC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,437

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa927…8d9fbacked TNC47c12,329$5,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,479.3634559.1%204 W · 141 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC42c6,916$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,013.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Phantom55c6,500$3,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,574.9866851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed TNC60c5,958$3,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,360.4264058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed TNC43c4,138$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.292,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed TNC57c4,054$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.7624551.8%127 W · 118 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed TNC42c3,703$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.7524746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8e…ce7dbacked TNC59c3,666$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.964173.2%30 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom41c3,523$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445.931,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom42c2,713$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.115,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TNC57c2,191$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.312,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Phantom54c2,100$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.2480942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Phantom2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301080.9%1 W · 107 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-76.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Phantom2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Phantom40c1,989$801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.672,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Phantom47c1,904$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89933146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…bbc3backed Phantom43c1,880$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8002231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom40c1,543$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.623,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Phantom39c1,420$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.192,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TNC42c1,349$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.472,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Phantom57c1,341$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.4628455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed Phantom1c1,330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91190.8%1 W · 118 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-37%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Phantom55c1,328$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.7866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Phantom46c1,229$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.1111758.1%68 W · 49 L-11.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Phantom56c1,149$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.915444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed TNC45c1,130$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.3445465.9%299 W · 155 L+20.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Phantom56c1,125$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.768143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc39d…4f49backed TNC53c1,102$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Phantom9c998.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8542427.1%115 W · 309 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Phantom13c928.61$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8861837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom39c916.6$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.6552750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Phantom55c893$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.153455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked TNC55c842.77$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.361,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Phantom41c839.54$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.6878043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed TNC58c835.97$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.644,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Phantom41c814.4$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.927940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Phantom52c792.85$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41554543.5%237 W · 308 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked Phantom58c750$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4351560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Phantom44c724.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.9340141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Phantom33c674.46$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.481,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed TNC45c653.83$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.6212638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Phantom43c651.66$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.31,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfe…5c6cbacked Phantom43c635.36$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3622954.6%125 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Phantom41c614.49$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.944568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93e…92edbacked Phantom45c607.92$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked TNC46c588.55$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0316355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom32c584.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.886,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom51c554.54$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.232,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Phantom57c550.15$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.033138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Phantom37c533.12$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.1721247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked TNC45c523.11$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7127552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x637b…948bbacked TNC61c522$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.37364.4%47 W · 26 L+9.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Phantom14c515.49$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Phantom47c512.48$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.4745238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x341c…f86fbacked Phantom57c505.26$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2883354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Phantom59c502$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.186445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d8e…735bbacked Phantom55c501$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.553461.8%21 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Phantom58c500$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.7238037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Phantom62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f9b…efabbacked TNC61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1952657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4498…473dbacked Phantom58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71a4…f92ebacked Phantom56c499.99$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.064334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Phantom55c499.98$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9914650.7%74 W · 72 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked Phantom56c476.49$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6834140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Phantom52c475.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.641,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x202f…7b58backed Phantom57c470.18$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2685536.4%20 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TNC43c469.99$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Phantom57c461.14$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6110041%41 W · 59 L-9.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Phantom23c450$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.941,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Phantom28c430.49$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.492,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Phantom43c428.48$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18459343.2%256 W · 337 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Phantom41c426$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6645646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed TNC75c421.03$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.6115743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Phantom57c406.82$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.422650%13 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8f…870ebacked Phantom49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19622542.7%96 W · 129 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcac4…d1acbacked TNC52c393.38$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.732040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Phantom37c359$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7949242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Phantom58c352.41$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.422342.2%94 W · 129 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed Phantom57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdef7…d8a0backed Phantom58c340.41$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.44450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Phantom42c337.66$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8483543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked Phantom60c333.49$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2521653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Phantom36c333.47$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.586333.3%21 W · 42 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Phantom49c325$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.513738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked TNC65c309.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1922257.2%127 W · 95 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce7c…17cfbacked Phantom59c303.73$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623d…3aeebacked Phantom56c303.57$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17010137.6%38 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Phantom47c301.27$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4391743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x548a…e58abacked Phantom21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.17742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Phantom40c290.27$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3441050.7%208 W · 202 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Phantom58c270$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.62352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Phantom52c269.33$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14117449.4%86 W · 88 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Phantom38c262.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10058149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f3d…1f52backed Phantom39c257.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028052.9%148 W · 132 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9e…102abacked TNC63c250$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.59757.7%56 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed Phantom42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8f…2dcdbacked Phantom18c249.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-64.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Phantom41c243$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.631,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b4…48dabacked Phantom45c241.26$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8310942.2%46 W · 63 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Phantom56c235$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.66747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.