CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa53bf0cf19f82d23a19d83504152c045c5291a5ae0211d12fcf8526b4a901a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phantomof Phantom, TNC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked TNC | 50c | 4,456$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.99 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…bbc3backed Phantom | 54c | 1,236$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.9 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Phantom | 42c | 738.69$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.59 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 43c | 580.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom | 56c | 547.74$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.55 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked TNC | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Phantom | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Phantom | 47c | 399.02$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.02 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Phantom | 53c | 360.38$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Phantom | 47c | 346.11$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.11 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Phantom | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Phantom | 55c | 232$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Phantom | 48c | 203.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.86 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Phantom | 45c | 203.35$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.35 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Phantom | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed TNC | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed Phantom | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c82…9728backed Phantom | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Phantom | 46c | 145.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Phantom | 68c | 132.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Phantom | 60c | 121.46$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Phantom | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Phantom | 64c | 88$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 53c | 78.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Phantom | 42c | 78.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…41a6backed Phantom | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Phantom | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 43c | 63.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Phantom | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked Phantom | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…9ef7backed Phantom | 43c | 53.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked TNC | 62c | 50.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Phantom | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed TNC | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb1…e088backed Phantom | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TNC | 32c | 30.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed TNC | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…1827backed Phantom | 51c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Phantom | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Phantom | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a6…7e22backed Phantom | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageTNC won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 WinnerTNC won
- Map Handicap: PHA (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)TNC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.