Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2af1ec49aba099b65d17be710660026954eab1b8e77d6407aae35b411c42ba37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim RedForceof Nongshim RedForce, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,368
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 67c | 3,762$2,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.93 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX | 1c | 1,099$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked DRX | 32c | 824.96$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2712…eb71backed DRX | 5c | 805$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed DRX | 32c | 680$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 607.78$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.8 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX | 32c | 456$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.21 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed DRX | 31c | 380.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.89 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked DRX | 24c | 377$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed DRX | 36c | 314.33$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed DRX | 25c | 311.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked DRX | 23c | 273.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Nongshim RedForce | 65c | 269.63$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.49 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed DRX | 37c | 256.47$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked DRX | 36c | 246.06$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.63 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed DRX | 41c | 246.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Nongshim RedForce | 69c | 188.25$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked DRX | 30c | 162.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 361 | 38.5%139 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked DRX | 29c | 153.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed DRX | 31c | 145$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa300…24c7backed DRX | 12c | 141.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DRX | 34c | 122.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked DRX | 23c | 116.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.96 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked DRX | 31c | 105.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Nongshim RedForce | 71c | 98.66$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe232…6ceabacked DRX | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed DRX | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 278 | 47.1%131 W · 147 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked DRX | 24c | 71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked DRX | 33c | 70.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed DRX | 58c | 58.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed DRX | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 189 | 52.4%99 W · 90 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed DRX | 51c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Nongshim RedForce | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked DRX | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nongshim RedForce | 74c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Nongshim RedForce | 62c | 21.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nongshim RedForce | 52c | 19.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nongshim RedForce | 75c | 17.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Nongshim RedForce won
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerNongshim RedForce won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.