Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07fd43bc41e52f26b29f593ab2795249598f6249a95c05dd60ae307f45c1f72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Nigma Galaxy, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $745,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $893,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $745,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 555 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 51c | 26,613$13,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,442.1 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Aurora | 61c | 26,432$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 22,199$10,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,829.45 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 53c | 20,778$11,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,026.57 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 51c | 19,137$9,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759.99 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 15,323$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,968.75 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 15,124$5,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,527.86 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Aurora | 50c | 12,176$6,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,045.75 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 11,045$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,870.73 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Aurora | 30c | 10,978$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,347.93 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 9,988$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,693.57 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 63c | 9,538$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 9,252$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,479.61 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora | 68c | 9,100$6,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,187.95 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2039…2e5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 8,781$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,281.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 8,400$5,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,129.35 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed Nigma Galaxy | 74c | 8,297$6,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.01 | 77 | 70.1%54 W · 23 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 8,241$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250.17 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 64c | 8,000$5,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,144.77 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…080dbacked Aurora | 67c | 7,519$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8a…8a18backed Aurora | 58c | 7,400$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 6,362$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,255.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 5,728$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.11 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 5,512$2,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,824.82 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 5,301$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,604.68 | 97 | 36.1%35 W · 62 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 62c | 5,284$3,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,296.28 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 66c | 5,167$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.67 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 5,009$1,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,156.65 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 5,000$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.43 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 4,890$2,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.09 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 53c | 4,723$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.03 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Nigma Galaxy | 35c | 4,535$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.38 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a46…8112backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 4,527$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.69 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 50c | 4,502$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.71 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 4,092$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.91 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 59c | 4,000$2,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,347.43 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Aurora | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.85 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Aurora | 64c | 3,815$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.8 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59f…0d08backed Aurora | 43c | 3,753$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.65 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Aurora | 50c | 3,436$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.57 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 3,160$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.4 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…8a5ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 3,123$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.51 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 3,111$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.65 | 280 | 44.3%124 W · 156 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Aurora | 79c | 3,079$2,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,427.05 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Nigma Galaxy | 52c | 3,042$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.45 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.94 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,944$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.84 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Aurora | 65c | 2,923$1,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,885.85 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0617…e371backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 2,751$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 63c | 2,693$1,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.43 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Aurora | 75c | 2,672$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.35 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2391…554fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 2,636$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.76 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 2,579$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.23 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,568$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.22 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 2,466$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,417$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.35 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 65c | 2,374$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.33 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed Nigma Galaxy | 51c | 2,371$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.09 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 60c | 2,361$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 2,348$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.36 | 319 | 36.7%117 W · 202 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 2,246$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.35 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 60c | 2,238$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.93 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9c…e006backed Aurora | 67c | 2,222$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 226 | 63.3%143 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc592…1ccebacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 2,200$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.8 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 2,192$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.4 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Aurora | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Aurora | 50c | 1,969$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.65 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…b615backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,849$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.47 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b1…1676backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 1,833$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.22 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a6…03abbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,812$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.21 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…15ffbacked Aurora | 67c | 1,800$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,792$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.46 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed Nigma Galaxy | 39c | 1,784$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.08 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,784$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.61 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 31c | 1,750$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.31 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d7…3a17backed Nigma Galaxy | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 1,669$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.54 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,662$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.95 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Aurora | 60c | 1,654$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.78 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 64c | 1,607$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.63 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Nigma Galaxy | 10c | 1,604$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.61 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,593$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.16 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 1,550$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,525$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.15 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Aurora | 66c | 1,509$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.99 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora | 46c | 1,488$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.68 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,466$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.91 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 1,455$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.29 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Nigma Galaxy | 49c | 1,454$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.36 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 1,452$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.15 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 1,443$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.3 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,442$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.34 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 49c | 1,441$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.92 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Nigma Galaxy | 70c | 1,423$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.54 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed Nigma Galaxy | 71c | 1,422$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.59 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed Aurora | 67c | 1,346$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.81 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e7…56d8backed Aurora | 68c | 1,329$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.