CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ac728375bb04b558b145f6dd7e0bd5b9ab0874e4aa5863f72c24e795ba8e776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Aurora Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $390,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $390,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 529 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Heroic | 35c | 33,656$11,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,949.31 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Heroic | 58c | 33,333$19,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,999.85 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Heroic | 39c | 30,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,299.92 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Heroic | 48c | 27,886$13,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,388.05 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…80a3backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 24,224$10,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,134.03 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Heroic | 35c | 20,453$7,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,264.18 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 20,073$11,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,099.17 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 16,355$10,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,630.87 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 11,000$7,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,119.99 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 10,678$6,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,940.67 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 10,482$5,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,937.4 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Heroic | 58c | 10,446$6,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.33 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Heroic | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f8…b501backed Heroic | 35c | 9,515$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,168.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +62%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 6,098$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.12 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 56c | 5,803$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.34 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…bde0backed Heroic | 37c | 5,501$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480.27 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,289$3,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,437.64 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…6a90backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 4,070$2,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,645.56 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Heroic | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.96 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Heroic | 39c | 3,750$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.5 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 39c | 3,750$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.5 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…ba86backed Heroic | 44c | 3,327$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 57c | 3,274$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.78 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,000$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +310.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 46c | 2,976$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.22 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Heroic | 54c | 2,778$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.97 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 42c | 2,497$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.28 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,467$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.1 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 2,422$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.82 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 2,410$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.81 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Aurora Gaming | 42c | 2,380$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.6 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2df3…d7e5backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 2,355$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 69c | 2,350$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 25c | 2,086$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.25 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 35c | 2,050$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Heroic | 39c | 2,027$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.16 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…3a4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcf…37d9backed Heroic | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…f194backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,995$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,785$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Heroic | 34c | 1,770$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.2 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 1,730$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.29 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,638$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.38 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 1,618$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,587$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.06 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…b907backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Heroic | 35c | 1,501$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.65 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Heroic | 36c | 1,500$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Heroic | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Heroic | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.92 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 1,403$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,401$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,330$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.5 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,320$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Aurora Gaming | 68c | 1,306$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 1,300$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,270$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.5 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 43c | 1,225$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.13 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic | 31c | 1,204$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.98 | 327 | 32.4%106 W · 221 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,182$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.99 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836c…acffbacked Heroic | 54c | 1,180$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.95 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,159$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.63 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Heroic | 56c | 1,157$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.16 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 1,114$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Heroic | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec10…ff8cbacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 1,062$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Heroic | 35c | 1,031$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.99 | 298 | 39.3%117 W · 181 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic | 35c | 1,006$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.66 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Heroic | 36c | 1,000$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Heroic | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…b05abacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 999.99$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d9…9e0ebacked Heroic | 33c | 999.98$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.99 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 990.75$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.33 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Heroic | 60c | 907.42$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.14 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 906.15$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 31c | 901.66$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.64 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 34c | 899.92$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.11 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 892.31$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e55…be6fbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 888.37$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.23 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 888$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.2 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 858.04$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.18 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 832.27$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…f476backed Aurora Gaming | 41c | 827.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.18 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf704…bed4backed Heroic | 38c | 801.79$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.11 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 797.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 793.9$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 793.65$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.94 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Heroic | 34c | 784.59$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.83 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Aurora Gaming | 45c | 777.91$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.