CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0157500e4a0a548b3faf715a2f10a3e0ae1f628460880dd99c3d23f152aed927
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Aurora Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,521
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,521 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 13,290$7,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,974.08 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed Heroic | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora Gaming | 63c | 4,420$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Heroic | 42c | 3,316$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.24 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Heroic | 39c | 3,010$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.3 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 3,010$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.45 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic | 75c | 2,389$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.42 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 2,075$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.66 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…b442backed Heroic | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Heroic | 48c | 1,888$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.89 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,819$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.73 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c70…1d71backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,690$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Heroic | 49c | 1,654$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.27 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 1,604$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 1,449$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Heroic | 34c | 1,285$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.97 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,257$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.6 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Heroic | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.99 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe7…ddf5backed Heroic | 60c | 1,161$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 341 | 56.6%193 W · 148 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 1,016$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.13 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 996.57$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.87 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 977$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.27 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Heroic | 45c | 927.56$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 883.32$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.27 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 829.61$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 778.83$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Heroic | 35c | 777.22$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Heroic | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 731.74$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.1 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 687.22$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.08 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 678.57$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.84 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Heroic | 44c | 604.96$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.42 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Heroic | 38c | 599.97$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora Gaming | 30c | 588.66$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.1 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b76…1a84backed Aurora Gaming | 70c | 531.76$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.23 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932c…8658backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 499.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic | 38c | 499.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 498.24$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.16 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 472.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…f194backed Heroic | 47c | 424.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.83 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…19ecbacked Aurora Gaming | 69c | 416$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Heroic | 54c | 409.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.39 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Heroic | 46c | 409.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic | 37c | 406.12$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 405.76$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 400$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 362.84$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Heroic | 70c | 351$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.24 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Aurora Gaming | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic | 40c | 349.94$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.36 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Heroic | 68c | 339.29$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 333.9$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Heroic | 63c | 315.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 224 | 44.2%99 W · 125 L | -16.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Heroic | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Heroic | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 40c | 292.68$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.61 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Aurora Gaming | 44c | 291.11$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 286.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…695dbacked Heroic | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e3…22cbbacked Heroic | 73c | 274.77$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 270.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.31 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic | 39c | 269$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.09 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Aurora Gaming | 15c | 267.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora Gaming | 22c | 256.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Aurora Gaming | 25c | 247.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Heroic | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Heroic | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1485…f4b2backed Heroic | 62c | 224.26$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Heroic | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…7703backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 416 | 45.9%191 W · 225 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aurora Gaming | 59c | 199.99$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Heroic | 49c | 199.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 39c | 179.34$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.92 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Aurora Gaming | 37c | 176.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 172.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Heroic | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…5fafbacked Heroic | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.41 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 29c | 163.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 161.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbcee…4531backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…326dbacked Heroic | 48c | 154.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…ff52backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 149.6$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Heroic | 47c | 149.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…8a6dbacked Heroic | 61c | 147.55$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…ffcabacked Heroic | 59c | 141.31$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 140.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Aurora Gaming | 38c | 137.11$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Heroic | 40c | 131.39$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Heroic | 57c | 124.28$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked Heroic | 36c | 123.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 460 | 42.8%197 W · 263 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 41c | 120.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.86 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 116.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 113.08$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.08 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Heroic | 39c | 109.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.