CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f7c346b1c23026afb5443a4a33c031d7152767934ac2feb7a62e142a262994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Aurora Gaming, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $201,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 44c | 10,380$4,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.65 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 64c | 9,180$5,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,875.01 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 8,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.96 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 7,085$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,604.97 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 5,318$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.83 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,029$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.75 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Heroic | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Heroic | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 54c | 4,038$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.75 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Heroic | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 3,665$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.48 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Heroic | 36c | 3,600$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.97 | 427 | 51.5%220 W · 207 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Heroic | 51c | 3,399$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.39 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Heroic | 51c | 3,348$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.73 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 3,214$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.78 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed Heroic | 35c | 3,018$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.34 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…c7a1backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 2,887$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.29 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 70cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Heroic | 38c | 2,298$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.2 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Heroic | 35c | 2,086$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.71 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Heroic | 56c | 1,792$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.24 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Heroic | 50c | 1,663$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.3 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,641$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Heroic | 33c | 1,479$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.26 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 73c | 1,438$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.48 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 755 | 45.6%344 W · 411 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Heroic | 75c | 1,362$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.44 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 1,352$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.76 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 55c | 1,259$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.07 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 1,171$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.76 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 1,078$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.72 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Heroic | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Aurora Gaming | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Heroic | 77c | 929.97$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.14 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Heroic | 53c | 889.15$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.37 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Heroic | 48c | 839.4$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.48 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Heroic | 35c | 817.14$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.14 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 48c | 767.86$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.42 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Heroic | 68c | 690.15$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.65 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 653.64$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.1 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b14…039bbacked Heroic | 77c | 639.51$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 118 | 71.2%84 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 638.86$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.72 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Heroic | 49c | 620.05$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.13 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 1,283 | 22%282 W · 1,001 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Heroic | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 593$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.56 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 587.48$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 584.94$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.02 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 575.9$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.4 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 574.39$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.12 | 325 | 48.3%157 W · 168 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 562.14$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora Gaming | 46c | 547.95$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.7 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Heroic | 55c | 521.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 488.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 475.86$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.68 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…f194backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 458.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 57c | 453$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Heroic | 44c | 452.94$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 196 | 58.2%114 W · 82 L | +11.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Heroic | 54c | 433.23$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.54 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Heroic | 35c | 407.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.14 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Aurora Gaming | 54c | 403.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.95 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 384.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 380.64$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.12 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 379.58$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 375.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.98 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Heroic | 46c | 373.62$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…b170backed Aurora Gaming | 62c | 372.36$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.01 | 114 | 42.1%48 W · 66 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 36c | 335.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Aurora Gaming | 43c | 335.25$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…2e16backed Heroic | 62c | 330$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…d43fbacked Aurora Gaming | 32c | 319.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…0c49backed Aurora Gaming | 65c | 303.18$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Aurora Gaming | 74c | 302.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 400 | 70.8%283 W · 117 L | +39.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Heroic | 37c | 300.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Heroic | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb39…326dbacked Aurora Gaming | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Heroic | 50c | 297.68$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.69 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 292.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Heroic | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Heroic | 42c | 277.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 276.59$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.06 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Heroic | 66c | 270.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.32 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 270.28$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.69 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 59c | 263.45$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.73 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Aurora Gaming | 64c | 260.86$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.95 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Heroic | 35c | 259.99$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…0e3abacked Aurora Gaming | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3217…32d3backed Aurora Gaming | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Heroic | 35c | 247.42$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Heroic | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 135 | 68.9%93 W · 42 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x83b8…09e5backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 235.44$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…1320backed Aurora Gaming | 33c | 229.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -11.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Heroic | 70c | 216.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.94 | 198 | 57.6%114 W · 84 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.