Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16d9c9f285a0664b28962b479d14f96d5d4a213c2ccfa9aadd1d3cde1c6b238d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amaru Gamingof Execration, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $122,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $160,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $122,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Execration | 22c | 22,989$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,096.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Execration | 64c | 7,500$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.06 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 4,571$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.09 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 2,897$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,917.71 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 2,489$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.3 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Execration | 7c | 2,088$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.15 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amaru Gaming | 26c | 1,974$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.77 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2929…1dd0backed Amaru Gaming | 70c | 1,929$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.67 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Amaru Gaming | 33c | 1,562$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.65 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Execration | 19c | 1,279$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.61 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Execration | 22c | 1,246$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Execration | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Execration | 10c | 975.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.71 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Amaru Gaming | 74c | 942.41$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.93 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…1c02backed Execration | 62c | 900.32$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.1 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e24…7014backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 876.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.41 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4d…c1bebacked Execration | 13c | 753.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Execration | 71c | 700$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Execration | 30c | 694.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Amaru Gaming | 29c | 693.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.26 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 73c | 660.01$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.37 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Execration | 64c | 653.31$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Amaru Gaming | 39c | 636.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.43 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Execration | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Amaru Gaming | 74c | 600$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.99 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Execration | 55c | 499.66$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.14 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Execration | 46c | 480.43$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.74 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed Amaru Gaming | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 440$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Execration | 24c | 436.36$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4a…823abacked Amaru Gaming | 46c | 416.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 36c | 383.79$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.36 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 368.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.28 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Execration | 28c | 365.87$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 339.37$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.56 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Amaru Gaming | 35c | 325.71$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 323.33$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.33 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 299.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 276.28$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.02 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 275.49$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 249.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.44 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Execration | 80c | 240$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 24c | 231.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.49 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked Amaru Gaming | 33c | 206.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.64 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Execration | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Execration | 59c | 198.49$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…2e7bbacked Execration | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Execration | 27c | 193.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Execration | 23c | 192.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration | 70c | 183.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 19c | 171.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Amaru Gaming | 53c | 158.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.86 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Amaru Gaming | 20c | 154.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Amaru Gaming | 15c | 148.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 142$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 30c | 140.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 40c | 126.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Execration | 16c | 120.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…1881backed Execration | 20c | 100.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Execration | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Execration | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Execration | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Execration | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Execration | 54c | 91.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc59…1b00backed Execration | 58c | 90.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Execration | 62c | 88.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Execration | 60c | 86.35$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 41c | 83.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…d64cbacked Execration | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Execration | 58c | 70$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 68.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Execration | 22c | 68.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Execration | 50c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 56.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Execration | 44c | 56.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 54.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…af97backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Amaru Gaming | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Execration | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Execration | 47c | 47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Execration | 23c | 43.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b13…37dbbacked Execration | 58c | 43.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Execration | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60f…1490backed Amaru Gaming | 75c | 40.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 38c | 39.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Execration | 71c | 38.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Execration | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Amaru Gaming | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c5…5bbabacked Amaru Gaming | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Execration | 39c | 27.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Execration | 80c | 25.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Execration | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Amaru Gaming | 66c | 22.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Amaru Gaming | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Amaru Gaming | 65c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.