Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c17d6db4898ea28a21a5ed38f85befd88e35132648ac7a22fbd4c846543c677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Execration | 62c | 13,578$8,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,226.04 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Amaru Gaming | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.94 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 3,540$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.77 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Amaru Gaming | 24c | 2,465$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 1,657$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.49 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 1,590$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.29 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 1,222$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.44 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 1,192$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.76 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Amaru Gaming | 19c | 996$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Amaru Gaming | 50c | 980$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Execration | 45c | 930.94$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.02 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…2eeabacked Execration | 70c | 926.65$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.93 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Execration | 51c | 811.64$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.64 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Amaru Gaming | 23c | 806.77$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 678$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.48 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Execration | 60c | 611$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.97 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Amaru Gaming | 22c | 503.06$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.57 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Execration | 45c | 377.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.78 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Amaru Gaming | 59c | 376.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 58c | 367.46$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.82 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Amaru Gaming | 48c | 366.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.99 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 359.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.67 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Amaru Gaming | 44c | 320.22$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.47 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Execration | 63c | 314.89$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Amaru Gaming | 34c | 301.41$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Execration | 59c | 230.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 210.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Execration | 65c | 210.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked Execration | 78c | 190.73$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Execration | 68c | 184$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 175.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Execration | 66c | 165.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 155.1$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Execration | 69c | 155$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 385 | 47.5%183 W · 202 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Amaru Gaming | 54c | 153$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.62 | 462 | 40.7%188 W · 274 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Amaru Gaming | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Execration | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Amaru Gaming | 53c | 148.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -42%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amaru Gaming | 28c | 139.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Execration | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Execration | 41c | 128.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 119$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 67c | 102.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 102.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x337c…3812backed Amaru Gaming | 59c | 102.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Execration | 65c | 100.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Amaru Gaming | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…6715backed Execration | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 145 | 43.4%63 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a4…69f6backed Execration | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Execration | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Execration | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Execration | 63c | 94.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Execration | 59c | 75.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Execration | 52c | 74.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Execration | 70c | 73.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Execration | 71c | 70.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.78 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…465abacked Execration | 52c | 54.54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Execration | 57c | 52.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Execration | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Amaru Gaming | 31c | 42.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Amaru Gaming | 31c | 42.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…6816backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 40.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…4841backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Amaru Gaming | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 33.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 31.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Execration | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Execration | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Execration | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Amaru Gaming | 53c | 29.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Execration | 66c | 29.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…b0e5backed Execration | 45c | 29.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed Amaru Gaming | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Execration | 79c | 24.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Execration | 53c | 20.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24b…5142backed Execration | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…8593backed Amaru Gaming | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Execration | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group AExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.