Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49abbe6d88877b09e864b3c9d7789ba1c44f7fac846adbe1494352970129c2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Execrationof Execration, Amaru Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Execration | 63c | 17,989$11,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,727.86 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…dc24backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 9,032$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.84 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Amaru Gaming | 38c | 8,651$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.65 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Execration | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.97 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…b46abacked Amaru Gaming | 36c | 5,689$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.76 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Execration | 67c | 5,656$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.26 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Execration | 63c | 4,148$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,541.57 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Amaru Gaming | 16c | 3,450$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.7 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amaru Gaming | 25c | 2,858$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.43 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Execration | 52c | 2,403$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.04 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Amaru Gaming | 20c | 2,306$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Amaru Gaming | 45c | 2,180$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.38 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Amaru Gaming | 51c | 2,105$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.55 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Amaru Gaming | 48c | 1,746$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.97 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Amaru Gaming | 29c | 1,720$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.96 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 1,407$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.71 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Amaru Gaming | 51c | 1,400$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Execration | 58c | 1,395$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.85 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Amaru Gaming | 36c | 1,300$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 1,158$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Amaru Gaming | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.59 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a013backed Amaru Gaming | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Execration | 50c | 980$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ea…7668backed Execration | 51c | 944.1$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 909.32$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Execration | 59c | 845.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.73 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Execration | 67c | 827.59$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.81 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Amaru Gaming | 42c | 816.3$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.55 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Amaru Gaming | 10c | 790$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 688.98$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Amaru Gaming | 30c | 667.57$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.13 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e4…2c05backed Execration | 75c | 665.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.79 | 117 | 77.8%91 W · 26 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Execration | 61c | 649.03$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Execration | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Execration | 61c | 583.06$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Amaru Gaming | 17c | 529.71$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Execration | 50c | 485$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Amaru Gaming | 16c | 476.01$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Amaru Gaming | 34c | 453.97$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.37 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Execration | 75c | 450$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Amaru Gaming | 18c | 439$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.07 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amaru Gaming | 11c | 434.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2776…4ecbbacked Execration | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Amaru Gaming | 21c | 375.66$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.89 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc910…8bbcbacked Amaru Gaming | 55c | 363.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…73c7backed Execration | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Amaru Gaming | 58c | 340.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 340.26$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Execration | 52c | 339.91$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Amaru Gaming | 22c | 336.73$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Amaru Gaming | 8c | 332.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Amaru Gaming | 37c | 323.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Amaru Gaming | 12c | 321.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Execration | 62c | 320$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Execration | 65c | 302.98$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.52 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…98abbacked Amaru Gaming | 50c | 301.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…03b3backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 297.7$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 278.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Amaru Gaming | 49c | 269.92$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Execration | 54c | 265$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Execration | 57c | 236.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Amaru Gaming | 40c | 207.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7d…d04bbacked Execration | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Execration | 69c | 186.73$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.53 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…2359backed Execration | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 48c | 181.79$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…9704backed Execration | 59c | 174.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Amaru Gaming | 13c | 169.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bed…5cd6backed Amaru Gaming | 44c | 168.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Amaru Gaming | 32c | 166.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1f…d6d5backed Execration | 60c | 165.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 165.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 65c | 162.86$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.11 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Execration | 63c | 161.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…ffc2backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 158.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.69 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 158.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Execration | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed Execration | 55c | 149.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked Execration | 69c | 148.76$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.12 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…91febacked Execration | 54c | 144.47$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Execration | 53c | 141.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Amaru Gaming | 35c | 141.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Amaru Gaming | 46c | 140.55$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.2 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Amaru Gaming | 39c | 136.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b55…cbc6backed Amaru Gaming | 41c | 134.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Execration | 76c | 132.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Execration | 68c | 130.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…6cb9backed Amaru Gaming | 42c | 126.42$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amaru Gaming | 28c | 122.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.18 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Amaru Gaming | 47c | 110.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.73 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Execration | 55c | 106.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Execration | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Execration | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Amaru Gaming | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…b974backed Execration | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…c307backed Amaru Gaming | 43c | 96.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Amaru Gaming | 19c | 94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 1 WinnerExecration won
- Dota 2: Execration vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 WinnerAmaru Gaming won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.