AI · resolved market
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1a6136ad23d19526c4929d2e79c79e999628de931ca2475d138fb31637fd2c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,240,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,572,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,240,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 394 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 406,671$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.01 | 292 | 0.3%1 W · 291 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…7c7abacked Yes | 0c | 207,192$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.38 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes | 0c | 179,998$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095c…de88backed Yes | 0c | 167,108$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 161,381$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.9 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…8016backed Yes | 0c | 153,055$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 152,181$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.76 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afe…ce17backed Yes | 0c | 149,999$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…fc1bbacked Yes | 0c | 145,195$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbab8…fa0cbacked Yes | 0c | 144,465$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…2435backed Yes | 0c | 144,375$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6781…c60fbacked Yes | 0c | 143,960$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…b272backed Yes | 0c | 143,760$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…6c62backed Yes | 0c | 143,605$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb467…b25dbacked Yes | 0c | 143,335$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5739…5bc7backed Yes | 0c | 143,260$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…a4b2backed Yes | 0c | 143,255$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005a…ca65backed Yes | 0c | 143,175$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad5…eef5backed Yes | 0c | 143,115$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…8af7backed Yes | 0c | 143,090$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…5070backed Yes | 0c | 143,055$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd95f…7143backed Yes | 0c | 143,050$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…6904backed Yes | 0c | 142,635$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…1b04backed Yes | 0c | 142,620$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…bcc7backed Yes | 0c | 142,431$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…ce46backed Yes | 0c | 142,400$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…233bbacked Yes | 0c | 142,365$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8822…7026backed Yes | 0c | 142,330$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…a8a8backed Yes | 0c | 142,280$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…ecd2backed Yes | 0c | 142,060$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…3002backed Yes | 0c | 142,015$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…70f6backed Yes | 0c | 142,010$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…1518backed Yes | 0c | 142,005$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x408e…bd05backed Yes | 0c | 141,995$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…1a53backed Yes | 0c | 141,960$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f5…dd03backed Yes | 0c | 141,930$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e1…55aebacked Yes | 0c | 141,910$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…4ee9backed Yes | 0c | 141,875$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe51f…1303backed Yes | 0c | 141,875$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…d63bbacked Yes | 0c | 141,693$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…196dbacked Yes | 0c | 141,675$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…131fbacked Yes | 0c | 141,670$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6362…8dcebacked Yes | 0c | 141,630$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…e6c1backed Yes | 0c | 141,050$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…920cbacked Yes | 0c | 140,875$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dd…7a85backed Yes | 0c | 140,280$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…8c9bbacked Yes | 0c | 140,265$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…9b86backed Yes | 0c | 140,090$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b95…2f5fbacked Yes | 0c | 139,980$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…03fbbacked Yes | 0c | 139,930$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e2…0b2abacked Yes | 0c | 139,900$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…9d84backed Yes | 0c | 139,670$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffdd…b301backed Yes | 0c | 139,630$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88af…d4b8backed Yes | 0c | 139,465$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c4…868bbacked Yes | 0c | 139,300$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…9593backed Yes | 0c | 139,100$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…43c0backed Yes | 0c | 138,410$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0477…c650backed Yes | 0c | 136,400$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fa…d668backed Yes | 0c | 134,635$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…aa13backed Yes | 0c | 134,555$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8a…6b86backed Yes | 0c | 133,895$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3364…fe63backed Yes | 0c | 133,820$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb57…e040backed Yes | 0c | 133,065$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2485…04f2backed Yes | 0c | 132,855$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…c9abbacked Yes | 0c | 132,555$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa563…71cbbacked Yes | 0c | 132,140$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…9668backed Yes | 0c | 132,130$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…edbabacked Yes | 0c | 132,125$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6500…935ebacked Yes | 0c | 131,730$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…f061backed Yes | 0c | 131,330$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd108…4106backed Yes | 0c | 131,265$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…ffa9backed Yes | 0c | 130,965$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959c…65cfbacked Yes | 0c | 130,780$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ebd…7bd6backed Yes | 0c | 130,640$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1541…1f93backed Yes | 0c | 130,465$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bb…4fb7backed Yes | 0c | 130,420$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…60d3backed Yes | 0c | 130,405$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…1e4bbacked Yes | 0c | 130,395$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…7271backed Yes | 0c | 129,970$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…ac14backed Yes | 0c | 129,715$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b29…8070backed Yes | 0c | 129,675$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4d…8200backed Yes | 0c | 129,345$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…de65backed Yes | 0c | 129,335$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacda…85cebacked Yes | 0c | 129,230$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…f5b7backed Yes | 0c | 129,130$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…81b0backed Yes | 0c | 129,113$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…4fdebacked Yes | 0c | 128,965$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f2…a4ddbacked Yes | 0c | 128,870$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…74a1backed Yes | 0c | 128,560$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…709bbacked Yes | 0c | 128,535$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…2017backed Yes | 0c | 128,505$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab5…9361backed Yes | 0c | 128,225$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…6434backed Yes | 0c | 128,055$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c1…857dbacked Yes | 0c | 127,920$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ae…1e94backed Yes | 0c | 127,885$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d07…117ebacked Yes | 0c | 127,555$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…023fbacked Yes | 0c | 127,385$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…b375backed Yes | 0c | 127,090$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcf…8a9fbacked Yes | 0c | 127,040$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 126,334$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.