AI · resolved market

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ec75c0ecab502fb3b43b03cb6760ff02036c8d227a98c3beceb955c22aaa6fd

Rebuilt 52 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: AIevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $12,050,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,212,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,050,070 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in AI
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf7f2…39f2backed Yes	0c	429,998$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460	14	0%0 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes	0c	396,273$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.27	28	0%0 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x095c…de88backed Yes	0c	294,109$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.19	21	0%0 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	0c	200,171$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.78	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…d79ebacked Yes	3c	169,999$4,590 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,589.98	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes	0c	168,592$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.59	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd497…cf2dbacked Yes	0c	146,000$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146	19	0%0 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecb…d40dbacked Yes	0c	129,998$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	6	0%0 W · 6 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7043…1425backed Yes	0c	101,914$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.83	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Yes	0c	100,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3f6…4e49backed Yes	0c	92,505$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aed…46fabacked Yes	0c	90,000$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf7…0c64backed Yes	0c	89,400$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34b9…5b8fbacked Yes	0c	88,785$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf641…e05abacked Yes	0c	88,045$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4638…8708backed Yes	0c	87,900$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x750b…e1aabacked Yes	0c	87,900$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfe…db1dbacked Yes	0c	87,785$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	87,436$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.87	149	1.3%2 W · 147 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-83.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4138…5f44backed Yes	0c	87,395$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02e7…963bbacked Yes	0c	87,110$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe256…0bcebacked Yes	0c	86,910$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa19…c407backed Yes	0c	86,630$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70ed…af87backed Yes	0c	86,315$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2597…ac14backed Yes	0c	85,970$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.94	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea7…80f1backed Yes	0c	85,690$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x776b…5ec2backed Yes	0c	85,565$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe26a…ecf2backed Yes	0c	85,335$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x431c…a486backed Yes	0c	85,260$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4ac…c491backed Yes	0c	85,125$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x736d…61ffbacked Yes	0c	84,985$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.97	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14cf…ea49backed Yes	0c	84,910$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x912d…2d89backed Yes	0c	84,640$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d68…7944backed Yes	0c	84,210$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc54d…4d42backed Yes	0c	84,070$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4da3…f754backed Yes	0c	84,050$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…c8cdbacked Yes	0c	83,895$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ce…28c3backed Yes	0c	83,810$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef3e…2099backed Yes	0c	83,730$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7a4…57dcbacked Yes	0c	83,095$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes	0c	79,999$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	292	0.3%1 W · 291 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09de…26fbbacked Yes	0c	76,260$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8d…6cdabacked Yes	0c	75,595$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec05…e4b8backed Yes	0c	75,290$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…6e24backed Yes	0c	74,990$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x964e…103dbacked Yes	0c	74,850$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee2a…97dabacked Yes	0c	74,645$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02d8…3d4dbacked Yes	0c	74,605$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c44…a669backed Yes	0c	74,585$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…1c10backed Yes	0c	74,555$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b23…c215backed Yes	0c	74,525$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0529…9106backed Yes	0c	74,275$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe99f…90d5backed Yes	0c	74,175$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf89b…c29ebacked Yes	0c	74,150$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42b…8aa6backed Yes	0c	74,095$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc618…82d9backed Yes	0c	73,945$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.89	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1591…7c79backed Yes	0c	73,895$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…50a2backed Yes	0c	73,845$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.69	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26a4…d1ffbacked Yes	0c	73,815$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf04b…7eb5backed Yes	0c	73,795$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x061c…48bbbacked Yes	0c	73,780$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4368…5de1backed Yes	0c	73,755$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e6…414fbacked Yes	0c	73,725$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb87…2d35backed Yes	0c	73,595$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6130…b1ecbacked Yes	0c	73,595$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8f3…809cbacked Yes	0c	73,590$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540b…d2b5backed Yes	0c	73,535$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa73…0b09backed Yes	0c	73,525$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…f3edbacked Yes	0c	73,455$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c00…3451backed Yes	0c	73,225$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e1…9e2dbacked Yes	0c	73,130$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x850a…1f85backed Yes	0c	73,105$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x504b…58ccbacked Yes	0c	73,025$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.05	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…7389backed Yes	0c	72,910$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a83…c05bbacked Yes	0c	72,905$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0d1…55aebacked Yes	0c	72,900$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55b2…1824backed Yes	0c	72,890$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb75…5b83backed Yes	0c	72,825$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9612…1558backed Yes	0c	72,790$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c56…80febacked Yes	0c	72,670$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ad9…6ed0backed Yes	0c	72,665$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x049e…a84dbacked Yes	0c	72,604$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.21	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcddc…5d74backed Yes	0c	72,400$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x404e…d61fbacked Yes	0c	72,375$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c3c…f2e4backed Yes	0c	72,355$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1f…0d1bbacked Yes	0c	72,230$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2825…0f38backed Yes	0c	72,195$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9479…2307backed Yes	0c	72,100$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.2	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bae…8d58backed Yes	0c	72,083$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.47	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad1d…f723backed Yes	0c	71,980$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66d9…cc7dbacked Yes	0c	71,800$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21c0…3262backed Yes	0c	71,685$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fae…3e2cbacked Yes	0c	71,620$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d5…57abbacked Yes	0c	71,545$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf63d…443abacked Yes	0c	71,385$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a32…a148backed Yes	0c	71,135$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5e…0ebabacked Yes	0c	70,980$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc32…7543backed Yes	0c	69,765$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.53	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8014…6b8cbacked Yes	0c	64,706$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9300…7624backed Yes	0c	62,430$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?this page
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes won
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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