Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x057af3294c5551fed69bbb3b1b2e7bb5a2a8e72a0b98366a864818b56501740f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 17,791$8,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,563.9 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed PARIVISION | 36c | 12,785$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.7 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 66c | 10,205$6,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,448.96 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 7,216$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,241.57 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 6,874$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.67 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Team Spirit | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,158$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 3,965$2,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 46c | 3,770$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.2 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed PARIVISION | 8c | 3,748$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.22 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 3,700$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.97 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…d2b3backed Team Spirit | 58c | 3,234$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.94 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,990$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.14 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed PARIVISION | 37c | 2,706$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Team Spirit | 52c | 2,658$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.43 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,557$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.26 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.99 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…74b2backed PARIVISION | 23c | 2,174$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed PARIVISION | 48c | 2,082$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed PARIVISION | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,977$1,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.61 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,968$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.76 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 1,715$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.59 | 353 | 70%247 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Team Spirit | 60c | 1,603$957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.33 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Team Spirit | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.11 | 124 | 59.7%74 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 71c | 1,300$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.12 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked PARIVISION | 34c | 1,297$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,217$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Team Spirit | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.17 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 853.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.05 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 762.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.51 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 652.2$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.62 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 507.32$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cd…e2abbacked PARIVISION | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…9148backed PARIVISION | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Team Spirit | 70c | 448.26$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.22 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…c415backed PARIVISION | 39c | 420.34$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked PARIVISION | 10c | 410$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Team Spirit | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Team Spirit | 53c | 389$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.95 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Spirit | 60c | 329.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 328.14$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed PARIVISION | 17c | 320$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit | 80c | 313.81$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed PARIVISION | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Spirit | 67c | 290.38$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 280$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed PARIVISION | 12c | 274.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed PARIVISION | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit | 53c | 268.31$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed PARIVISION | 23c | 253.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.38 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed PARIVISION | 45c | 239.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Team Spirit | 66c | 228.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa17…3aa2backed Team Spirit | 77c | 223.83$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 53c | 210$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed PARIVISION | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Team Spirit | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed PARIVISION | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked PARIVISION | 16c | 198.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 27c | 179.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Team Spirit | 72c | 137.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Team Spirit | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked PARIVISION | 19c | 106.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 104.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Spirit | 66c | 102.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked PARIVISION | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Team Spirit | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa60…d867backed PARIVISION | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed PARIVISION | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked PARIVISION | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Team Spirit | 57c | 96.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 90$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…fd5ebacked PARIVISION | 47c | 89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Team Spirit | 53c | 88.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed PARIVISION | 39c | 62.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed PARIVISION | 37c | 62.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fc…5922backed PARIVISION | 50c | 60.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Team Spirit | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Spirit | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed PARIVISION | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 44.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…73e6backed Team Spirit | 71c | 43.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6794…c10dbacked PARIVISION | 28c | 43.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Spirit | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…8c74backed PARIVISION | 47c | 42.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed PARIVISION | 28c | 38.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.