Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x859c085c4ae79e9e18ea4b2ec0117fa73c5a5d1e8e759dd75a79697f3cc69148
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof PARIVISION, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $180,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $198,755
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 17,528$10,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,089.73 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed PARIVISION | 46c | 17,031$7,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,826.56 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Team Spirit | 62c | 13,442$8,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,112.04 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 12,670$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.17 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed PARIVISION | 45c | 8,834$4,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.7 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed PARIVISION | 42c | 8,044$3,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,382.8 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 38c | 8,000$3,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,053.09 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…40e3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 7,802$4,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,589.03 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 7,729$3,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,416.31 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed PARIVISION | 47c | 7,683$3,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,638.25 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Team Spirit | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.99 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 5,912$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.94 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 5,439$2,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.22 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Team Spirit | 55c | 5,165$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.66 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 41c | 5,043$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.62 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 49c | 5,022$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.44 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed PARIVISION | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 61c | 4,419$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.28 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…9490backed Team Spirit | 51c | 4,186$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked PARIVISION | 4c | 3,575$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 87 | 9.2%8 W · 79 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Team Spirit | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,274$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.9 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 3,217$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.77 | 201 | 59.7%120 W · 81 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -10.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 53c | 2,725$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Team Spirit | 59c | 2,350$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.96 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 2,223$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.56 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 2,040$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.9 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed PARIVISION | 40c | 2,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc459…7b3fbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,825$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,800$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.69 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Spirit | 46c | 1,699$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.19 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3103…d804backed PARIVISION | 41c | 1,575$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.55 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…0c1bbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 1,483$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,258$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.98 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 1,242$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,237$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,198$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.12 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,085$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 1,041$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.21 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…4015backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 813.33$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Spirit | 68c | 800$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.56 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed PARIVISION | 38c | 737.43$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.1 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed Team Spirit | 55c | 716.98$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.98 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 699.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 691.72$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.77 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…c9afbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 657.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.87 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked PARIVISION | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Team Spirit | 48c | 600$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 44c | 574.44$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.1 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 563.31$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.5 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 540.01$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.01 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed Team Spirit | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd3…c066backed Team Spirit | 60c | 503.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.94 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…e46dbacked PARIVISION | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 499$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Spirit | 58c | 481.03$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…4549backed PARIVISION | 32c | 456.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Team Spirit | 68c | 453.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +11.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…5b72backed PARIVISION | 6c | 416.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…ca43backed PARIVISION | 44c | 387.88$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…3d20backed Team Spirit | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Team Spirit | 55c | 363.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Team Spirit | 58c | 359.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.2 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 56c | 357.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.6 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked PARIVISION | 65c | 349.08$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…0591backed Team Spirit | 58c | 345.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed PARIVISION | 44c | 341.45$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 197 | 43.1%85 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e32…6e95backed PARIVISION | 16c | 324$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Spirit | 59c | 301.05$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.36 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf858…37d0backed Team Spirit | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…6c41backed PARIVISION | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 292.62$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…3ff3backed Team Spirit | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…158fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 249.37$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed PARIVISION | 8c | 224.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b82…9c30backed Team Spirit | 60c | 223.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 222.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecd…594abacked PARIVISION | 43c | 219.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed PARIVISION | 42c | 211.05$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed PARIVISION | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Team Spirit | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Spirit | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Spirit | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 199.47$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed PARIVISION | 43c | 187.04$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked PARIVISION | 44c | 178.6$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Team Spirit | 58c | 173.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Team Spirit | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…b9c0backed PARIVISION | 33c | 149.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b5…e049backed Team Spirit | 52c | 144.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked PARIVISION | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 109.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Spirit | 56c | 106.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e8a8backed PARIVISION | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked PARIVISION | 48c | 101.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3)Team Spirit won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.