TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$90,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb569…5695backed Team Yandex61c6,488$3,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.7819047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Virtus.pro30c5,000$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49034146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro30c4,237$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.592,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro21c3,930$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.191,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex75c3,416$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.3241055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex80c3,317$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.439660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Yandex62c2,345$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.5512351.2%63 W · 60 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Team Yandex68c2,340$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.8110451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Virtus.pro29c2,224$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.9914947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Virtus.pro42c2,016$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.9214538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…5fb1backed Virtus.pro1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex61c1,568$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2148954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Yandex65c1,543$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.0816149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9be…8b35backed Virtus.pro38c1,445$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.558349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex67c1,357$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.5353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Virtus.pro23c1,306$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro35c1,200$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42021847.2%103 W · 115 L+16.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Virtus.pro42c1,192$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro37c927.59$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.37549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro42c807.14$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3398239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Team Yandex62c645.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.192646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Virtus.pro42c633.69$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2632759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Team Yandex66c621.06$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.463666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Virtus.pro36c602.86$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.0635758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Team Yandex72c523.07$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.25850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6d…9148backed Virtus.pro9c415.38$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.781513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Yandex75c400$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.118149.4%40 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a4f…5459backed Team Yandex66c376.12$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1211051.8%57 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Virtus.pro39c300$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.111943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Yandex59c300$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1234231%13 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex79c293.55$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7645061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team Yandex59c292.6$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.87846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Yandex78c270.91$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4116665.7%109 W · 57 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Virtus.pro40c249.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Virtus.pro30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608750.6%44 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8034154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Virtus.pro40c186.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.013441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Team Yandex61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933066.7%20 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked Virtus.pro31c156.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4911945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Virtus.pro39c142.51$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Team Yandex62c131.9$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1221350.7%108 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Yandex60c127.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6485851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Virtus.pro35c123$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.05728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid+28.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…ef23backed Virtus.pro38c118.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.871546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Virtus.pro37c107.73$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc016…8c74backed Virtus.pro32c103.95$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.92035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3246664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c2eabacked Virtus.pro28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284540%18 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Yandex61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3958152.5%305 W · 276 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Yandex60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4010560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Virtus.pro28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286462.5%40 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+26%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex62c97.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4420361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Team Yandex77c90.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9112965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Virtus.pro37c89.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Team Yandex57c81.4$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49b…70c0backed Team Yandex60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3263032.5%205 W · 425 L+1.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Team Yandex64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.132544%11 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b68…795bbacked Virtus.pro38c76.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Virtus.pro18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.51030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…e99bbacked Virtus.pro37c71.08$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex64c64.72$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.318661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb1…4c29backed Team Yandex75c64.27$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.27887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Team Yandex62c62.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.862857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Team Yandex72c60.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1746872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xec82…b44ebacked Virtus.pro40c59.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Virtus.pro32c59.02$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.676169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro35c58.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4655751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Virtus.pro37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2064744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Yandex66c53.02$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.812,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Team Yandex61c50.82$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.837244.4%32 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3703…2795backed Virtus.pro30c50.63$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515341.2%63 W · 90 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fc…5922backed Virtus.pro40c50.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207050%35 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2023650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Yandex60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2014254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d10…e17cbacked Team Yandex65c45$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Team Yandex65c44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team Yandex63c43.72$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2989749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex62c43.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4389440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d1…2ecdbacked Team Yandex59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.412533.6%42 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Team Yandex69c36.23$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2311054.5%60 W · 50 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a4…05afbacked Team Yandex65c34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Team Yandex77c32.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba6…822abacked Team Yandex66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x824d…1271backed Team Yandex60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1224026.7%64 W · 176 L-30.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-42.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Team Yandex69c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.674341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7753…73cebacked Team Yandex77c28.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.451668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b7c…4394backed Team Yandex66c27.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Team Yandex60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013157.3%75 W · 56 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Yandex66c23.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0734063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Team Yandex72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8313946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Team Yandex64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.224345.3%110 W · 133 L+15.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8db…bb07backed Team Yandex66c16.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.