TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virtus.proof Team Yandex, Virtus.pro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro43c10,157$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,808.5819047.9%91 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro44c9,053$3,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,059.1353451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Team Yandex57c7,990$4,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,549.6212256.6%69 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex24c7,972$1,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,891.948954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Yandex35c6,486$2,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,243.362,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Team Yandex42c5,710$2,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,423.4334146.6%159 W · 182 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Virtus.pro51c4,852$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.811,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed Virtus.pro64c4,516$2,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.0334468.9%237 W · 107 L+26.3wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Team Yandex38c3,923$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,483.4614947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db3…932fbacked Team Yandex49c2,674$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016149.7%80 W · 81 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Virtus.pro57c2,242$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.3289749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc76…f087backed Team Yandex65c2,237$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.773666.7%24 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8523…1c9fbacked Team Yandex57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14010236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.7wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Team Yandex68c1,961$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.6514538.6%56 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Yandex59c1,925$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.7413045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb30…302abacked Virtus.pro43c1,860$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4710451%53 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex73c1,572$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.5639660.1%238 W · 158 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Virtus.pro56c1,456$819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.9328341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Virtus.pro41c1,428$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.381957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked Virtus.pro40c1,236$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.322759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+45.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Virtus.pro42c1,231$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.25642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro34c1,203$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.0839936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Yandex60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72053652.6%282 W · 254 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Team Yandex39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3908950.6%45 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507549.3%37 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad4e…12f1backed Team Yandex62c1,000$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6162161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ac…188dbacked Team Yandex61c972.43$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.182646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Yandex34c969.99$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.754231%13 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Virtus.pro41c915.04$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6610048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex11c893.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10062650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Yandex78c875.16$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.4241055.6%228 W · 182 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Virtus.pro48c839.56$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.5636851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x328f…5b72backed Team Yandex4c833.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.421942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa50b…74b2backed Team Yandex76c830.02$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-46.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Team Yandex28c808.91$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22546664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Team Yandex57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45617444.8%78 W · 96 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Virtus.pro43c800$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45620159.7%120 W · 81 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Yandex56c750$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42055751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Virtus.pro71c722.85$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked Team Yandex77c650.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50035370%247 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…5fc4backed Team Yandex48c607.68$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29331545.4%143 W · 172 L-19.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cf2…423abacked Virtus.pro36c551.07$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.073545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b07…de95backed Team Yandex60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001225%3 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-46.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Virtus.pro37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31512851.6%66 W · 62 L-9.8wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75ab…eb07backed Team Yandex2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107846.2%36 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34059250.5%299 W · 293 L-20.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Yandex63c499.99$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.9989440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb26c…46ddbacked Virtus.pro61c490.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.578239%32 W · 50 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Team Yandex63c473.93$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.043441.2%14 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe0b…c415backed Virtus.pro40c460.43$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.261241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro36c404.92$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9767…b5c4backed Virtus.pro26c383.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.0415946.5%74 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Team Yandex45c360.51$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16320361.6%125 W · 78 L+22.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Team Yandex57c345.58$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.983650%18 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Yandex37c339.06$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4145061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1225…33bfbacked Team Yandex72c303.07$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.38850%4 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca4…1c68backed Virtus.pro35c299.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9964149.9%320 W · 321 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf0e…c6a8backed Virtus.pro43c296.67$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.676139.3%24 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Virtus.pro69c295.67$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Virtus.pro35c287.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.3417342.8%74 W · 99 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Team Yandex78c256.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005750.9%29 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Yandex65c252.67$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2661057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe48…5895backed Virtus.pro40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15012147.9%58 W · 63 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x76d4…3ad4backed Team Yandex71c230$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.78149.4%40 W · 41 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Virtus.pro37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611943.7%52 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Virtus.pro43c186.61$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2234063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3228…b4e3backed Virtus.pro28c176.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.447037.1%26 W · 44 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6d…9148backed Team Yandex8c174.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.341513.3%2 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4218…8b6cbacked Virtus.pro24c166.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6711945.4%54 W · 65 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Virtus.pro63c165.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2973841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9885…09afbacked Team Yandex65c164.68$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc76b…5fbabacked Virtus.pro30c150$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Yandex60c150$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9034154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Team Yandex12c143.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8113946%64 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9875…3840backed Team Yandex14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa49…6330backed Team Yandex75c112$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8411157.7%64 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30d1…2ecdbacked Virtus.pro30c109.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.912533.6%42 W · 83 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-22.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Virtus.pro41c104.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0845951.9%238 W · 221 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Team Yandex48c103.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Yandex60c101.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9318661.8%115 W · 71 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Team Yandex60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fac…bdd8backed Team Yandex30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013456%75 W · 59 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x687c…8c91backed Team Yandex20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014254.2%77 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Virtus.pro65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3112965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Team Yandex60c92.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…090dbacked Team Yandex63c90.24$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.262272.7%16 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+32.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Virtus.pro67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5587645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4566…8063backed Team Yandex21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.23476.5%26 W · 8 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe2a9…b9e9backed Virtus.pro39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Virtus.pro33c75.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.142751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x728a…df69backed Virtus.pro36c73.25$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.883429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d08…37a5backed Team Yandex22c71.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-67.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro37c69.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x657d…9ab5backed Team Yandex73c65.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.12,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Team Yandex63c63.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014668.5%100 W · 46 L+14.3wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Team Yandex64c62.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7925248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d15…ba34backed Team Yandex34c60$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex65c60$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3923650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x308f…e152backed Team Yandex66c52.77$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353857.9%22 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.