Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x615edf97d66a3cbcd9a43cc5ada489b02df38a95aa77c7b5346a46c56a919c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof ThunderTalk Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,109
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 9,710$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.85 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 5,545$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.81 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 11c | 5,380$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.53 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 3,712$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 2c | 3,600$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 629 | 7%44 W · 585 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…5fb1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 3,300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 2,555$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 257 | 51%131 W · 126 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…0c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 0c | 2,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 219 | 3.2%7 W · 212 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 10c | 2,134$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.06 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,902$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.62 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 1,800$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 1,551$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 234 | 39.7%93 W · 141 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 1,431$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 431 | 48%207 W · 224 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 3c | 1,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 1,093$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 536 | 40.3%216 W · 320 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 1,025$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38da…01ecbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 1,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 981$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.96 | 398 | 51.8%206 W · 192 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 12c | 797.62$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 768.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…e206backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 700$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 628.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 566.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 530$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 35.3%137 W · 251 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 477$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.45 | 439 | 47.6%209 W · 230 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…27a2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -79%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…1094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 451.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 206 | 21.8%45 W · 161 L | -18.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…7d5abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 422.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 422$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.74 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 400$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 345$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 453 | 44.6%202 W · 251 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 276.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 298 | 33.9%101 W · 197 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 263.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…d943backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 261.11$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,009 | 49.2%496 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…ee42backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 168$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b8…849ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 315 | 22.9%72 W · 243 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…1c27backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 19c | 106.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a52…c0e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 355 | 16.3%58 W · 297 L | -25.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…b281backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed LNG Esports | 80c | 80.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 359 | 66.6%239 W · 120 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44e…c6b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 80.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…f5f5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ef…06c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed LNG Esports | 80c | 47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 284 | 58.5%166 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 3?LNG Esports won
- Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)LNG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.