Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b7458e5edfe34cab2dfcb7901e71210de900ace48429407de926863ea04a643
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LNG Esportsof LNG Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ab…0fe6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 8,804$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.78 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -8.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked LNG Esports | 60c | 6,675$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,675.08 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 24c | 1,046$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,039$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.53 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 58c | 1,024$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed LNG Esports | 57c | 1,022$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b54…97b8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 940.74$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed LNG Esports | 59c | 853.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.98 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5092…fccdbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 724.6$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.59 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf32b…90c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 699.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked LNG Esports | 58c | 689.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.7 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b8…b4d8backed LNG Esports | 60c | 584.97$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.99 | 431 | 51.3%221 W · 210 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 558.14$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -12.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed LNG Esports | 57c | 549.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed LNG Esports | 60c | 543.33$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.33 | 488 | 52%254 W · 234 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 501$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.11 | 288 | 43.8%126 W · 162 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 500$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports | 51c | 398.67$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.35 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 8c | 349.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…5298backed LNG Esports | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 296.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 254.76$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 148 | 35.1%52 W · 96 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed LNG Esports | 59c | 250$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed LNG Esports | 57c | 202.14$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed LNG Esports | 58c | 201.7$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 178.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed LNG Esports | 70c | 177.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…e0c9backed LNG Esports | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 181 | 61.3%111 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked LNG Esports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…d531backed LNG Esports | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 139 | 51.8%72 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.93 | 440 | 47.5%209 W · 231 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 152.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 141.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked LNG Esports | 80c | 140.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…3b04backed LNG Esports | 60c | 140$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5203…966bbacked LNG Esports | 58c | 122.56$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 20c | 121.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,056 | 28.5%301 W · 755 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 121.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb153…d8b5backed LNG Esports | 58c | 113.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked LNG Esports | 58c | 112.07$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.07 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked LNG Esports | 60c | 108.78$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d20…ca2abacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 106.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed LNG Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…4842backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 89.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…8da8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 23c | 84.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked LNG Esports | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed LNG Esports | 43c | 78.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae72…f49dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 41c | 75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 383 | 35%134 W · 249 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7c…bfd7backed LNG Esports | 80c | 67.61$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…600ebacked LNG Esports | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked LNG Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked LNG Esports | 79c | 44.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked LNG Esports | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…607bbacked LNG Esports | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed LNG Esports | 60c | 30.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed LNG Esports | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | +17.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdd11…79a5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 29.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68d…4452backed LNG Esports | 60c | 27.92$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +143%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf9…63a5backed LNG Esports | 60c | 22.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed LNG Esports | 56c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LNG (-2.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+2.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 3?LNG Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 WinnerLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 3 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.