Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65a30a2c74b5ed3c95e2ae86d3849a17ccc4cac794f77e31513520f61e82c62d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $277,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $264,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 64c | 51,066$32,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,558.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 48c | 36,768$17,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,594.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7098…b948backed No | 44c | 20,245$8,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,847.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 52c | 18,024$9,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,651.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d9…a16cbacked Yes | 49c | 10,115$4,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed No | 52c | 9,887$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,148.39 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 24c | 7,911$1,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,022.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 14c | 7,562$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.19 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 58c | 5,667$3,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 21c | 5,000$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.31 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c5…79aebacked Yes | 53c | 4,477$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 36c | 3,886$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.34 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 53c | 2,859$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.75 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8879…b58fbacked Yes | 62c | 2,722$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1e…ce59backed Yes | 26c | 2,522$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 52c | 2,500$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked No | 47c | 2,036$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…11bebacked Yes | 43c | 1,945$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…ebefbacked No | 62c | 1,939$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…d68abacked Yes | 50c | 1,857$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 45c | 1,746$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.64 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Yes | 64c | 1,719$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 55c | 1,509$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 34c | 1,352$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.44 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 52c | 1,349$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.48 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Yes | 39c | 1,268$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked No | 40c | 1,232$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be6…4ff5backed Yes | 50c | 1,202$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,133$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…558dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,119$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171e…6141backed Yes | 40c | 1,117$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +147.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 61c | 962.6$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 67c | 921.77$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked Yes | 60c | 907.24$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eeb…a809backed Yes | 22c | 879.77$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +345%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 55c | 874.96$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.03 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 42c | 820$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Yes | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 41c | 746.51$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 78c | 698.14$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 49c | 692.78$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.12 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 49c | 614.77$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Yes | 41c | 594.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…6ff8backed Yes | 51c | 562.75$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b00…d78bbacked Yes | 11c | 557.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…2030backed No | 43c | 554.24$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…1e7fbacked Yes | 18c | 550$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…6afebacked Yes | 58c | 515.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…7c5cbacked Yes | 57c | 483.67$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 39c | 474.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed No | 31c | 464.92$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 46c | 443.51$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 439.99$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.84 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 55c | 438.19$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 52c | 412.1$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.42 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 49c | 405.93$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.93 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…06b7backed Yes | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +83.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Yes | 47c | 398.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed Yes | 46c | 376.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…1632backed Yes | 55c | 371.66$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…a052backed No | 58c | 369.81$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 46c | 367.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…bf77backed Yes | 41c | 363.76$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed No | 59c | 355.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 69c | 350$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…88e1backed Yes | 54c | 348.07$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…cad6backed Yes | 53c | 347.87$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…da39backed Yes | 53c | 333.34$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b470backed Yes | 58c | 323.93$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 42c | 316.63$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.59 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked No | 50c | 314$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3cdcbacked Yes | 51c | 303.41$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +175%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked Yes | 53c | 296.59$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…d85ebacked Yes | 62c | 294.65$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 44c | 285.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 10c | 281.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.04 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 49c | 240$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 62c | 239.59$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked No | 48c | 238.07$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c88…0efcbacked Yes | 41c | 236.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…c16abacked Yes | 38c | 221$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b7…2ae4backed Yes | 51c | 212.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…d46fbacked Yes | 39c | 209.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…c351backed Yes | 48c | 207.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 24c | 204.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…f34ebacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…c824backed Yes | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 43c | 199.23$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 52c | 195.47$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 54c | 195.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?this page
- Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Baadur Jobava win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Nihal Sarin win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Shakhriyar Mamedyarov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Yangyi Yu win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.