Chess · resolved market
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5d7922b602539b4b11ee4f96816a4fda43fb04be463b2f348e9b90b65e2e6bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 20c | 10,382$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,068.6 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,979$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 26c | 1,618$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,377$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yes | 24c | 1,168$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 9c | 845.05$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 74c | 813.11$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 77c | 806.62$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…cd16backed Yes | 6c | 799.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 17c | 743.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 5c | 735.36$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 690.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked Yes | 29c | 513.58$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 12c | 432.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3861…b1babacked Yes | 25c | 406.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…ae6fbacked Yes | 30c | 398.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 394.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 7c | 365.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b55…076fbacked Yes | 24c | 340.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 5c | 308$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…e7f6backed Yes | 38c | 297.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Yes | 21c | 260$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 20c | 223.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 23c | 216.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…395fbacked Yes | 21c | 211.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb74d…9b2abacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 20c | 197.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5285…7c5cbacked Yes | 23c | 175.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes | 33c | 166.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed Yes | 24c | 154.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a4…8793backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 75c | 137.77$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac09…7c34backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…0af7backed Yes | 33c | 120.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 11c | 116.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…558dbacked Yes | 25c | 105.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b0…2554backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c50…73b8backed Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421d…320abacked Yes | 22c | 99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 10c | 98.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Yes | 15c | 97.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc1…2d42backed Yes | 21c | 86.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 25c | 80.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Yes | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +175%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa92…cda4backed Yes | 35c | 72.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 51c | 71.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce56…25a3backed Yes | 41c | 55.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…c0c4backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 25c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…1f82backed Yes | 55c | 36.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f23…e2c8backed No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?this page
- Will Alexander Grischuk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Baadur Jobava win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jan-Krzysztof Duda win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jorden Van Foreest win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Jose Eduardo Martinez Alcantara win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?Yes won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Nihal Sarin win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Olexandr Bortnyk win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Shakhriyar Mamedyarov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
- Will Yangyi Yu win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.