TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac09…7c34

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70%+$119.07
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66%+$31.02
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+319%+$102.1
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$49.55
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+40%+$43.63
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$55.71
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$50
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$45.13
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.54
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$11.1
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$147.83
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Dricus Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Will Conor McGregor win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$50.74
UFC 329: Cody Garbrandt vs. Adrian Yanez (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Adrian Yanez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.56
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.3
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Caio Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$7.73
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Drew Dober · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.31
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.59
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+36.5%+$6.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$10.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.