Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed2fe0d96bea79262a5ef5fc6ff83ded1ca050472d7258535451d5de81bd8a61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,022
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,022 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Over | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,624$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.46 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 1,473$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 37c | 1,192$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.2 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 69c | 1,098$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,043$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.22 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 46c | 1,042$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.35 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +13.1wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 71+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 74c | 589.12$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.15 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 47c | 527.6$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.08 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +19.0wins | +0.30per pick | 43cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 20c | 526.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4d…254ebacked Over | 76c | 508.21$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.30per pick | 51cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 71c | 477.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.14 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 48c | 389.15$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 21c | 388.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.66 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 75c | 283.92$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 48c | 212.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 49c | 206.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Over | 49c | 181.88$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 20c | 164.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768a…96a6backed Over | 67c | 148.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…a6efbacked Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +260.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 80c | 108.14$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 26c | 105$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae77…fa72backed Under | 38c | 76.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 38 | 78.9%30 W · 8 L | +8.8wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 59c | 50.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1d…d05ebacked Over | 53c | 43.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Over | 50c | 39.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 32c | 34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 46c | 33.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0156…2ddcbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 35cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Over | 67c | 29.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6097…66b2backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2e…f9b8backed Over | 55c | 21.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +80%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 71c | 17.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +10.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Melbourne Victory FC vs. Sydney FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.