NBA · resolved market
Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4af2e97a3b01a27667cf06e39f2e0780a901d330558d109149d08b50c9962962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $290,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,034
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Mavericks | 48c | 125,635$60,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,304.88 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lakers | 52c | 95,123$49,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,667.15 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Lakers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Mavericks | 48c | 23,241$11,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,122.41 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Lakers | 52c | 10,239$5,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,914.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Mavericks | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Lakers | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.38 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x185c…fa2fbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,100$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…d4efbacked Mavericks | 48c | 8,100$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,100$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a0…43cfbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,100$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…abbdbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,100$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,888 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…d157backed Mavericks | 48c | 8,100$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lakers | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.98 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Mavericks | 49c | 8,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.9 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Lakers | 52c | 7,900$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc898…e5b3backed Lakers | 52c | 7,900$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,792 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…7e7fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 7,900$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d30…c94fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 7,900$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Lakers | 52c | 6,767$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.19 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…1ccbbacked Mavericks | 49c | 6,617$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 49cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Lakers | 51c | 6,200$3,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 48c | 4,799$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Lakers | 52c | 4,600$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.95 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…6448backed Lakers | 51c | 4,181$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Mavericks | 67c | 4,157$2,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780.65 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lakers | 52c | 4,081$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.09 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 60c | 2,969$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.74 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mavericks | 47c | 2,930$1,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.05 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Lakers | 52c | 2,640$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.2 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lakers | 27c | 2,586$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.48 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,316$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.84 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b9…12e4backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,142$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Lakers | 52c | 2,089$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.43 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56d…bd7dbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…5266backed Mavericks | 49c | 2,040$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Mavericks | 40c | 2,025$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 52c | 1,743$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.03 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Lakers | 42c | 1,568$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,457$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Lakers | 53c | 1,277$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.36 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,233$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.44 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Mavericks | 48c | 1,200$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Lakers | 44c | 1,191$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.4 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks | 46c | 1,130$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.66 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Lakers | 54c | 1,001$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.79 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Lakers | 70c | 1,000$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Lakers | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Lakers | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Mavericks | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 236 | 30.1%71 W · 165 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Mavericks | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Lakers | 52c | 899.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Lakers | 52c | 799.98$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902e…5f41backed Lakers | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Lakers | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 53c | 700$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.81 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Lakers | 49c | 687.81$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.54 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks | 52c | 686.51$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…54e8backed Mavericks | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Mavericks | 49c | 618.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2af0…8473backed Mavericks | 49c | 617.68$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Lakers | 53c | 606.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Lakers | 52c | 576.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.9 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mavericks | 47c | 562.14$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.91 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Lakers | 52c | 533$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Lakers | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Mavericks | 51c | 499.65$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.82 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5961…56dbbacked Lakers | 10c | 493$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.45 | 378 | 48.9%185 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Lakers | 49c | 453.72$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.6 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Lakers | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Lakers | 52c | 320$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.61 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lakers | 51c | 307.04$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Lakers | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Lakers | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mavericks | 27c | 298.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…0efcbacked Mavericks | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lakers | 52c | 267.28$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Lakers | 50c | 260.62$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.31 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Lakers | 52c | 258.35$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.72 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 50c | 257.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mavericks | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Mavericks | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Mavericks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6b…34d8backed Lakers | 69c | 201.76$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 72cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Lakers | 50c | 199.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Mavericks | 31c | 195.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7f…f02fbacked Lakers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…8b6cbacked Lakers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Lakers | 53c | 188.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Lakers | 53c | 169.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…6a15backed Mavericks | 47c | 166.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Mavericks | 41c | 166.02$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)this page
- Lakers vs. MavericksLakers won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.