NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09ecca7334bccfc2e4b341abf453248a372d2fc5f5684fede9ebc60e1cd1ed48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,807
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,000 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,599.99 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 50c | 32,613$16,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,152.43 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 20,406$9,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,947.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 50c | 12,500$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Over | 50c | 10,132$5,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,066 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…eeafbacked Over | 50c | 7,560$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Under | 51c | 6,767$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,320.83 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 5,997$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997.06 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Over | 49c | 5,429$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,660 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 50c | 5,300$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48f…d015backed Over | 49c | 5,180$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…0823backed Under | 50c | 4,948$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 4,025$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.45 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 50c | 3,703$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.57 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 51c | 2,488$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.74 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 2,350$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 50c | 2,298$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.06 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Over | 50c | 2,204$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 54c | 2,183$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.28 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 2,178$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.43 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Over | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 52c | 1,797$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.71 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 50c | 1,608$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 64c | 1,530$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.4 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 1,491$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.7 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Under | 51c | 1,322$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.96 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 1,125$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.57 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Under | 50c | 1,039$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.5 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 1,030$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 1,006$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.92 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 595.5$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.27 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Over | 41c | 552.94$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.7 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 77c | 551.53$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.19 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 41c | 539.7$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.45 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 50c | 536$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…4dd7backed Over | 60c | 530$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 50c | 454$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 28c | 407.3$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.96 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 39c | 400$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 50c | 387.48$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde46…a7afbacked Under | 51c | 321.57$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 49c | 313.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Over | 49c | 299.96$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…ea8abacked Over | 62c | 261.13$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…c865backed Under | 51c | 256.18$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…1ff9backed Over | 51c | 254.89$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Over | 50c | 232.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…cb3bbacked Under | 67c | 222.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 201$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.55 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Over | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 43c | 182.83$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 50c | 182$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 44c | 180.43$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30e…b2f1backed Under | 57c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 57c | 161$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 308 | 40.9%126 W · 182 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 58c | 154$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 57c | 149$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…5b70backed Under | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 48c | 130$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.8 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 125.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Under | 50c | 115.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 102.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e97…7680backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a22…f8d8backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba87…bc76backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a1…7066backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Under | 51c | 97.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 503 | 51.5%259 W · 244 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Over | 16c | 86.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 48cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 49c | 74.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 63c | 73.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 67c | 70.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe62e…d3e2backed Under | 51c | 66.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.61 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Under | 58c | 65.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 47c | 61.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…3562backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…a163backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -48%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 46.6%243 W · 279 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 54c | 55.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 233.5this page
- Lakers vs. MavericksLakers won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Mavericks: O/U 232.5Under won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 22.5No won
- Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5Yes won
- Spread: Lakers (-3.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.