TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$354,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$368,076

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $354,490 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under72c176,467$127,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127,818.432,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over39c161,769$63,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,710.263164.5%20 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c79,173$11,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,513.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over39c33,000$12,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,129.941369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under61c24,049$14,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,670.019350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c22,829$13,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,922.4516045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under61c16,034$9,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,785.9452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under61c10,000$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1009150.5%46 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under61c7,292$4,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,448.1222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under62c5,349$3,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,316.38955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over39c5,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0505550.9%28 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Under61c5,000$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0502227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under2c4,098$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.924847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Under60c3,333$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Under61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8304040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8308251.2%42 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over34c2,922$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.371145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Under1c2,526$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.264744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under61c2,522$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.3998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Under2c2,039$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.844032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over38c1,300$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.24242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Over39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0521650.5%109 W · 107 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under61c1,139$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.613743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under75c1,063$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.11955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under61c1,054$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.0638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under62c820$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.44748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48810152.5%53 W · 48 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under61c737.84$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.0816448.8%80 W · 84 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over36c696.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.672729.6%8 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over30c670$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4697220.8%15 W · 57 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over21c649.51$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.1116842.9%72 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ca…e25abacked Under78c633.04$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.48366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under61c600$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3666949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over39c592.01$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9540549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under63c504.87$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.7659240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.225556.5%144 W · 111 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.218459.2%109 W · 75 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under61c420$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.212048.3%58 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24031441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under61c400$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24428556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over38c363$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.016863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over56c355.55$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.442171.4%15 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Under69c345.62$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2382050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over39c332.85$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0919436.1%70 W · 124 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.315847.5%75 W · 83 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under61c330$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.316851.2%86 W · 82 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1838948.3%43 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18313550.4%68 W · 67 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18313152.7%69 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18312253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0f1…cc6abacked Under65c300$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Under61c295.08$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Over40c290.9$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.31963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Under61c284.15$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.461662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under61c280$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.814155.3%78 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under65c276.96$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.675145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1615141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.528458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15f9…607ebacked Over39c250$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over39c220.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.686043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Under65c220$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1431560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over26c215.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.0593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Under61c200.84$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.511947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1226145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12215459.1%91 W · 63 L+11.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over20c191.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.118439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under61c190$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.911550.4%58 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca4a…338abacked Over58c189.66$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.66683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+79.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195740.4%23 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under61c180$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.811655.2%64 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under76c176.41$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3924955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.78148.1%39 W · 42 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.712453.2%66 W · 58 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711454.4%62 W · 52 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.710952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.77746.8%36 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under61c170$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.711953.8%64 W · 55 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003040%12 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe91c…5331backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002045%9 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed Under61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over39c163.65$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.731361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+40.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under61c160$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Over38c156.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8311856.8%67 W · 51 L+9.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.58852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.510252%53 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9013946%64 W · 75 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.59447.9%45 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.513648.5%66 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Over39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Under69c141$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.296863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Over39c133.33$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.338744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over15c133.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.33922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over39c127.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94c0…5b71backed Over33c121.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under70c120.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1710353.4%55 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under61c120.2$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.322250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4680…e592backed Over35c120.14$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.141090%9 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick66cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.