Serie A · resolved market
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bef2d766933aa09ddce1115ca3bc1216ce82310131db22407ff309128c7c48c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 54c | 5,206$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.24 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0748…a31ebacked No | 56c | 2,706$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 63c | 2,630$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 46c | 1,761$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.42 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 44c | 1,417$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.68 | 366 | 30.9%113 W · 253 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 45c | 1,119$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.94 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 47c | 1,001$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.56 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 55c | 981.72$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.39 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 41c | 830.08$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.03 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 30c | 809$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.7 | 72 | 20.8%15 W · 57 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 44c | 750.48$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.59 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…2525backed Yes | 45c | 748.41$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 55c | 658.72$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.4 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 47c | 577.66$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked No | 54c | 557$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.22 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Yes | 48c | 547.21$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.94 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 38c | 520$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 52c | 385$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed No | 54c | 315.31$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.04 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 54c | 297.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.04 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 45c | 293.31$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 37c | 270.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 46c | 260.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 194 | 36.1%70 W · 124 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…2696backed Yes | 46c | 239$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.94 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a92…5a5ebacked Yes | 46c | 221.83$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 53c | 166.53$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 165 | 26.1%43 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…d5c0backed Yes | 52c | 150.4$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed No | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 43c | 149.37$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.23 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 126.04$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 142 | 31%44 W · 98 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 48c | 97.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…17c4backed Yes | 69c | 73.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 31c | 69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Yes | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 60.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 467 | 42.8%200 W · 267 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 32c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed No | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc202…01e8backed Yes | 46c | 52.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddca…239abacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Yes | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed No | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed No | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 44c | 42.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 289 | 31.8%92 W · 197 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 58c | 41.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…fe4bbacked Yes | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d2…1462backed Yes | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 55c | 27.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked No | 55c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Yes | 45c | 27.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da4…2b9cbacked Yes | 46c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed Yes | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5Over won
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5Under won
- Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.