TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$131,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x92d8…9762backed Under2c40,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004744.7%21 W · 26 L+5.6wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+86.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c11,213$4,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,078.962,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8f…70eabacked Over8c9,472$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,714.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick7cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c4,796$2,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,344.011,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over48c4,620$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.539154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Over65c4,586$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c3,202$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.8993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over54c2,765$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.691145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over61c2,454$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.034566.7%30 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under34c2,320$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.7498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9801060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over66c1,819$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.463464.7%22 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Over54c1,464$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.826863.2%43 W · 25 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x826c…b26fbacked Under36c1,264$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+41.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd5…6428backed Under56c1,078$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-57.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Under55c909.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdba1…a62bbacked Over55c909$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Over66c900$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3065052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e28…df76backed Over53c874.96$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.231050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over61c864.52$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.528957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1e…5a02backed Over65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62a…aecfbacked Over44c524.32$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a5…b620backed Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Under13c484.93$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.491127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-34.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc651…98efbacked Over74c462.26$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over66c400$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13631441.4%130 W · 184 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10011268.8%77 W · 35 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Over63c349.21$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.2110259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2057…0629backed Over65c338.46$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.46785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+56.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over51c312.29$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2246742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over41c299.95$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.976863.2%43 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6839…0dc5backed Over65c292.31$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.312100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+289.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over48c275.54$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.437552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb944…250fbacked Over66c268.53$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb364…f1e3backed Over66c268.38$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under7c245.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9139740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa142…375abacked Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Over60c215.62$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc3…9d67backed Under49c206.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Under34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over79c193$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4814936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under35c171.42$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033144.7%148 W · 183 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x291b…b19cbacked Over67c166.43$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.92875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296043.3%26 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Over76c158.84$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd400…51b0backed Over64c153.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5213366.2%88 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over61c148.33$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3317958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x650a…e30fbacked Over65c148.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60df…7092backed Over66c137.91$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.894100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+74.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over51c137$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over66c136.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.954254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c123.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.191043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Over44c120.95$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.735046%23 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under44c114.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9252748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over64c114.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0915648.7%76 W · 80 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-26.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25de…ec0ebacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x457f…cf1dbacked Over66c99.09$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0419353.9%104 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a3…790fbacked Under39c95.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.361136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Over69c93.34$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.691963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f77…724bbacked Over66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.911450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+28.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88b2…7917backed Over66c90.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa354…b85fbacked Over64c89.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.218863.6%56 W · 32 L+16.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Over65c82.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.931090%9 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick58cpaid+55.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x079e…fef9backed Over66c82.03$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6896…c672backed Over65c78.83$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.433565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13f…75cebacked Over65c78.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce16…749fbacked Over66c77.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.47580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+39.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under30c77.66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0936852.7%194 W · 174 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x024f…5857backed Over72c73.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.381752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7808…3046backed Over66c71.2$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52f…db16backed Over66c69.45$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a22…c4a5backed Over65c69.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.232100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc79f…d270backed Over66c66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Over76c65.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.79850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf464…0607backed Over66c61.89$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under34c60.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7416251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda6…7599backed Under54c59.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over57c59.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.145448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…17c4backed Over60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+100.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bd7…1941backed Over65c54.96$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf4…f5e5backed Over66c54.15$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over57c52.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.188158%47 W · 34 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over75c51.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.881275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c4…3704backed Over61c50.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.56768.7%46 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…6715backed Over57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x71eb…5ec6backed Over66c48.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick66cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4eb8…a474backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6680…dac9backed Over66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over65c44.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.511560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15a7…9725backed Over61c44$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick69cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Over66c42.79$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1c…c864backed Over63c39.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over67c38.58$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.736972.5%50 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc164…55e7backed Over66c37.88$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under34c37.62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.843246.9%15 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.