Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b36895ccd9f6205091b6846886cfee9ed649c383337e1516c5f9943c67b06c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $568,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $572,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $568,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 55c | 257,639$142,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,666.05 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 211,754$105,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,400.01 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -7.7wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Over | 45c | 74,330$33,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,448.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 45c | 39,614$17,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,826.46 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 55c | 26,070$14,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,829.27 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 44c | 25,443$11,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,194.79 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Under | 50c | 20,150$10,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,997.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 51c | 20,000$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,900 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 44c | 20,000$8,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,800 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 13,698$6,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,848.77 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 8,520$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 7,110$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,413.91 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 49c | 6,800$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,331.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Under | 51c | 6,797$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,330.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 50c | 4,009$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.58 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 52c | 3,930$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.6 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 53c | 3,770$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.77 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 69c | 3,718$2,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.87 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 3,523$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.83 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 46c | 3,261$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Over | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Under | 79c | 2,318$1,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.78 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Over | 44c | 2,150$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.59 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 47c | 1,973$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.37 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 1,600$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 52c | 1,540$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 51c | 1,191$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.18 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 37.4%40 W · 67 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 1,043$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.99 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Under | 69c | 1,005$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8873…09fcbacked Over | 46c | 991.98$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.31 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 53c | 981.13$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.13 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 37c | 919.71$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Over | 46c | 914.84$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.06 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Over | 48c | 914.58$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Under | 77c | 907.7$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.7 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked Over | 48c | 824.25$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 800$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 45c | 650.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.77 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 51c | 600$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 351 | 57.8%203 W · 148 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 48c | 594$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.12 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…e1dcbacked Over | 48c | 586$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…503fbacked Under | 53c | 570.64$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 47c | 559$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.73 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 61c | 495.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.79 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 52c | 492.03$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 51c | 480$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 375 | 54.9%206 W · 169 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 480$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 38c | 449.23$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed Under | 53c | 421.36$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 50c | 411.67$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.84 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Under | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 129 | 51.2%66 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 400$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 45c | 399.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 51c | 380$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Under | 53c | 377.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 59c | 374.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.38 | 108 | 74.1%80 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 51c | 360$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 51c | 360$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 273 | 54.9%150 W · 123 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 51c | 360$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Under | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Under | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 254 | 56.3%143 W · 111 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 51c | 300$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 383 | 58.2%223 W · 160 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 66c | 268.55$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 70c | 267$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 61c | 252.03$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 283 | 59.4%168 W · 115 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 51c | 240$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 321 | 58.6%188 W · 133 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 51c | 238.15$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.88 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…04bcbacked Over | 45c | 228.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.93 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Over | 5c | 226.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 217.56$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed Over | 45c | 215.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Over | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.