Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4025c215d23755ae693c38461ca0c1e33f6d243de347bc63cf4b7ae003a4a4bf

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 7, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,811

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,295 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over	68c	8,590$5,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,866.59	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	32c	7,765$2,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,301.55	1,272	50.4%641 W · 631 L	-53.9wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over	68c	5,103$3,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,470.26	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	64cpaid	-21%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	34c	4,870$1,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,219.9	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	44c	4,259$1,893 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,366.59	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over	69c	3,407$2,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.09	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over	69c	2,899$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-13.3wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under	32c	2,094$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,424	79	29.1%23 W · 56 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Under	31c	2,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,380	55	60%33 W · 22 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	54c	1,842$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under	32c	1,158$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.66	55	56.4%31 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Under	44c	1,000$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+5.5wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+26%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over	66c	1,000$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Over	69c	999.98$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$689.98	71	47.9%34 W · 37 L	-6.3wins	-0.09per pick	57cpaid	-16%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over	69c	903.67$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$623.51	1,224	40%490 W · 734 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	60c	531.23$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Under	32c	513.36$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$347.82	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f4…c918backed Under	53c	439$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under	32c	420$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.6	193	57.5%111 W · 82 L	+16.3wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under	78c	400.54$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.94	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-5.4wins	-0.23per pick	58cpaid	-37%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over	57c	400$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.05	111	42.3%47 W · 64 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Over	69c	400$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under	32c	399.96$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.98	373	42.6%159 W · 214 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over	64c	384.28$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.94	152	63.2%96 W · 56 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over	70c	357.14$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	95	51.6%49 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Under	60c	330.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.99	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.2wins	-0.23per pick	44cpaid	-66.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Under	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	174	28.2%49 W · 125 L	-11.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under	31c	300$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under	31c	300$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207	599	58.9%353 W · 246 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb5…d941backed Over	40c	273$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.61	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Under	54c	250$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.13per pick	57cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7712…0c28backed Over	68c	250$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	30c	241.78$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.24	391	56%219 W · 172 L	+12.8wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked Over	63c	238.1$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	206	44.7%92 W · 114 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Over	63c	230$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.9	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x498e…f5c5backed Over	22c	228.86$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over	47c	214.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.7%53 W · 114 L	-18.5wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Under	32c	200$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	37c	193.97$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.88	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Under	39c	189.22$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.08	100	51%51 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Over	58c	188.75$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.43	104	48.1%50 W · 54 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	68c	186.59$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.01	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	59%23 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under	31c	180$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.2	815	59%481 W · 334 L	+32.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over	37c	180$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	38	68.4%26 W · 12 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc32e…203dbacked Over	41c	174.29$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	58c	172.59$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over	70c	169.03$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.74	50	48%24 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Under	44c	163.23$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.81	209	31.6%66 W · 143 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	51%26 W · 25 L	-4.8wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under	31c	150$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	367	58.3%214 W · 153 L	+23.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	31c	150$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	327	55.7%182 W · 145 L	+13.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over	68c	150$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.95	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under	31c	150$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.5	383	58.2%223 W · 160 L	+24.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+16%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under	68c	146.39$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.38	584	45.9%268 W · 316 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c3…dedebacked Over	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9817…28bcbacked Over	51c	131.37$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	40	50%20 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over	71c	129.48$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.93	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.18per pick	64cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb063…c9d1backed Over	59c	128.62$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Over	54c	125.15$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.58	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-7.2wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Under	31c	122.58$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.58	232	20.7%48 W · 184 L	-12.5wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Over	58c	120.12$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.67	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-8.5wins	-0.17per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under	31c	120$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.8	290	57.9%168 W · 122 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	69c	115.11$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	180	59.4%107 W · 73 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Over	69c	108.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	101	39.6%40 W · 61 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	53c	103.77$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	208	64.9%135 W · 73 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ad4…7eeabacked Over	68c	103.01$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over	48c	100.1$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	408	41.9%171 W · 237 L	-8.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Under	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over	57c	100$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	265	48.3%128 W · 137 L	+7.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a92…5a5ebacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6dd…3139backed Over	53c	94.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over	47c	91.87$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	142	52.8%75 W · 67 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	62c	88.71$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	556	54.9%305 W · 251 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Under	31c	85.87$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.25	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.28per pick	38cpaid	+98%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	70c	85.71$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	66	66.7%44 W · 22 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Under	47c	83$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.78	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d53…8a3ebacked Under	31c	80.65$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.65	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.30per pick	45cpaid	+77.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x078e…7952backed Under	32c	80.04$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.59	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a50…6c6bbacked Over	63c	78.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-11.4wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	52c	73.58$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.27	181	39.2%71 W · 110 L	-7.7wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	31c	70$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.3	269	59.9%161 W · 108 L	+13.6wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under	31c	64.52$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.52	216	48.6%105 W · 111 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under	58c	61.09$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.49	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Under	33c	60.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.61	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	236	58.1%137 W · 99 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Under	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	229	58.1%133 W · 96 L	+8.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under	31c	60$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.4	313	59.4%186 W · 127 L	+15.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd7…f634backed Under	33c	60$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Over	70c	50.34$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.24	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-4.5wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	60c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over	69c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	395	61.3%242 W · 153 L	-21.3wins	-0.05per pick	67cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Over	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03dc…132abacked Over	61c	50$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.5	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-12.8wins	-0.18per pick	48cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Under	31c	48.13$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.21	96	43.8%42 W · 54 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over	52c	47.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	67	47.8%32 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked Under	50c	45.19$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.69	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	45c	44.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49c…6dcabacked Over	69c	42$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.98	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7500…ae85backed Under	31c	42$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.98	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5this page
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event