CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b9fc5c2d18713a73afd331ede2af822302c1e03a1def7511d8b9c2b4070ecc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof MOUZ NXT, Favbet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Favbet | 61c | 4,000$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.09 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 2,442$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.27 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Favbet | 53c | 1,131$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.26 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed MOUZ NXT | 3c | 1,051$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 1,020$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.93 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 1,000$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked MOUZ NXT | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Favbet | 62c | 506.66$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.13 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 499.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.86 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 391.73$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.86 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Favbet | 60c | 385$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MOUZ NXT | 42c | 383.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…bd1fbacked MOUZ NXT | 48c | 270.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked MOUZ NXT | 29c | 172.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…3803backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 162.02$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Favbet | 60c | 161.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Favbet | 63c | 137.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…1f09backed Favbet | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabc8…fd71backed Favbet | 62c | 105.64$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Favbet | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Favbet | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3568…c765backed Favbet | 65c | 99.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed MOUZ NXT | 37c | 89.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 87.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Favbet | 79c | 85.68$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed MOUZ NXT | 24c | 81.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed MOUZ NXT | 36c | 75.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Favbet | 57c | 61.61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked MOUZ NXT | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7183…5b81backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 54.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9109backed MOUZ NXT | 53c | 50.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ae…f010backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Favbet | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Favbet | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…4e4dbacked Favbet | 63c | 47.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed MOUZ NXT | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa100…60e1backed MOUZ NXT | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 137 | 37.2%51 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c89…259dbacked Favbet | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked MOUZ NXT | 30c | 35.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Favbet | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Favbet | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe23…a8b5backed Favbet | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbd…191dbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 30.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Favbet | 45c | 26.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…9918backed Favbet | 77c | 18.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…41a7backed Favbet | 76c | 16.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…cb22backed Favbet | 79c | 14.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Favbet - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.