Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b9c0d8c8bef5e290f766abdc282e0a20131ff9dcb2242c2018b368a95b67bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Pipsqueak+4, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 0c | 20,574$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.66 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 6,496$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.25 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 24c | 3,266$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.1 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Aurora | 76c | 2,567$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.89 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 1,830$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.01 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Pipsqueak+4 | 16c | 1,729$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.42 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 1,599$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.17 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,595$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.26 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Aurora | 53c | 1,377$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.97 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed Pipsqueak+4 | 6c | 1,202$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pipsqueak+4 | 5c | 1,004$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Aurora | 79c | 974.68$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 815$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.15 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 712.01$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.64 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…5e99backed Aurora | 78c | 699.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.86 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 55c | 658.78$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.78 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Aurora | 57c | 621.18$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.69 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 74c | 557.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.86 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Aurora | 56c | 500.56$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.59 | 235 | 29.4%69 W · 166 L | -21.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Aurora | 73c | 455.85$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.78 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Pipsqueak+4 | 14c | 405.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe124…a7acbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 388.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Aurora | 63c | 386.92$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 302.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…899abacked Aurora | 70c | 286.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.51 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 284.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 536 | 34%182 W · 354 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Aurora | 75c | 268.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9589…5b36backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 248.95$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 53c | 212$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked Aurora | 77c | 200.74$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Aurora | 59c | 166.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…9305backed Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 161.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Aurora | 71c | 150.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.27 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Aurora | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 185 | 50.8%94 W · 91 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Aurora | 71c | 135.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Aurora | 74c | 134.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…045fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 131.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora | 63c | 129.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Aurora | 64c | 108.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Aurora | 72c | 103.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Pipsqueak+4 | 19c | 102.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Aurora | 78c | 101.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Aurora | 79c | 100.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Aurora | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aurora | 70c | 98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 93.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 93.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Aurora | 55c | 90.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.17 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 87.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6630…703cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 25c | 86.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 37c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 82.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 18c | 76.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe646…7f8ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 75.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 21c | 66.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 66.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Aurora | 46c | 65.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Aurora | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 62.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Pipsqueak+4 | 23c | 61.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Aurora | 71c | 60.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 54.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 138 | 27.5%38 W · 100 L | -15.0wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9251…1fe5backed Aurora | 78c | 51.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…29d8backed Pipsqueak+4 | 35c | 51.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…90b9backed Aurora | 72c | 51.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Pipsqueak+4 | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…f7c2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Pipsqueak+4 | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Pipsqueak+4 | 26c | 49.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2598…5e58backed Aurora | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 29c | 41.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…3ac2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Aurora | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 120 | 61.7%74 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Aurora | 73c | 33.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed Aurora | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 21.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Aurora | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: Pipsqueak+4 vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.