Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab974f041f7cc2536bb5b2bfc4f4f6019c0b1375bc5ddd935f59d828b1230f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VP.Prodigyof VP.Prodigy, Pipsqueak+4
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 12,255$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 3,246$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,123.25 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 2,450$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 15c | 2,199$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 11c | 1,918$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.54 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 1,437$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 1,388$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.51 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 1,339$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.4 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 1,154$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.07 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc192…086cbacked VP.Prodigy | 34c | 1,124$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.37 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a6…3152backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 1,122$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 1,000$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.8 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 954.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 949.99$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pipsqueak+4 | 16c | 908.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 815.14$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.81 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6e…c807backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 773.4$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf243…5fb4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 57c | 718.37$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.88 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed VP.Prodigy | 36c | 710.67$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.02 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 706.06$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 645.14$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 594.07$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c961backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 589$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…be98backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 563$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…5b8cbacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 559$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +115.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1146…5eeebacked VP.Prodigy | 33c | 550$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed VP.Prodigy | 29c | 545.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.63 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed VP.Prodigy | 73c | 533$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked VP.Prodigy | 36c | 529.58$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed VP.Prodigy | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 65c | 486.52$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.24 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 465.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.45 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked VP.Prodigy | 78c | 459.87$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…36ecbacked VP.Prodigy | 78c | 445.65$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 440$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242 | 574 | 55.4%318 W · 256 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 422.5$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed VP.Prodigy | 17c | 406$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.45 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…3a44backed Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 401.21$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…a15cbacked VP.Prodigy | 11c | 400.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 375.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed VP.Prodigy | 19c | 330.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.57 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 326.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.31 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2521…7f2bbacked VP.Prodigy | 16c | 317.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.44 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…743cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 316$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked VP.Prodigy | 71c | 296.94$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…5af0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 278$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409f…7a48backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 273$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 272.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.97 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5691…16a7backed Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 272$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed VP.Prodigy | 70c | 271.86$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed VP.Prodigy | 45c | 266.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 260.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…349fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 67c | 256.48$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked VP.Prodigy | 21c | 244.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.15 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 240$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.5 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 48c | 236.55$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc345…2c35backed Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 224.4$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd40b…429abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 70c | 224.28$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…be2dbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 208.86$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Pipsqueak+4 | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked VP.Prodigy | 46c | 196.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.72 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed VP.Prodigy | 25c | 196.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 62c | 180.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8754…4fcdbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 170$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed VP.Prodigy | 23c | 163.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 153.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…b1d3backed Pipsqueak+4 | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed VP.Prodigy | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3717…7453backed Pipsqueak+4 | 64c | 138.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…19bebacked Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 137.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Pipsqueak+4 | 50c | 130.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a60…a571backed VP.Prodigy | 31c | 130$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Pipsqueak+4 | 63c | 124.59$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 122.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 121.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…a852backed Pipsqueak+4 | 52c | 120$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be9…40cbbacked VP.Prodigy | 73c | 110.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Pipsqueak+4 | 76c | 110$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…e822backed Pipsqueak+4 | 77c | 103.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…934fbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 46c | 103.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…5945backed Pipsqueak+4 | 61c | 83.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8095…97b6backed Pipsqueak+4 | 66c | 73.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed VP.Prodigy | 33c | 69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Pipsqueak+4 | 73c | 60.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Pipsqueak+4 | 60c | 58.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked VP.Prodigy | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked VP.Prodigy | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Pipsqueak+4 | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked VP.Prodigy | 41c | 43.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8761…5619backed Pipsqueak+4 | 68c | 41.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…03b9backed Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 39.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked Pipsqueak+4 | 51c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 238 | 49.6%118 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed VP.Prodigy | 35c | 37.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…5111backed Pipsqueak+4 | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner Pipsqueak+4 won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 WinnerVP.Prodigy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.