NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33dd1f19bea78efa4b46bf6fd9e71dab1054d1bf0fab24b5d802ea3876f3a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2219…e243backed Pistons | 47c | 13,577$6,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200.26 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nets | 53c | 10,434$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500.24 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 53c | 4,322$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Nets | 53c | 3,736$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 3,319$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.11 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 46c | 2,697$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets | 57c | 1,227$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.24 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…9dcabacked Pistons | 43c | 1,150$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…9120backed Nets | 57c | 1,150$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Pistons | 47c | 857.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 54c | 781.29$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.68 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nets | 54c | 777$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.43 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Pistons | 49c | 614.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Nets | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Pistons | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6371…d8febacked Nets | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb9…2396backed Pistons | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 437$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nets | 52c | 429.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nets | 53c | 417.6$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.7 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets | 53c | 226$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.78 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Nets | 57c | 210.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pistons | 47c | 197.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pistons | 47c | 187.84$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Nets | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Nets | 51c | 106.12$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Nets | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Nets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pistons | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9073…13b3backed Pistons | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Nets | 55c | 90.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Nets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc244…c06fbacked Nets | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed Pistons | 47c | 80.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Nets | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pistons | 58c | 71.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Pistons | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Pistons | 47c | 56.23$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Nets | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Pistons | 40c | 47.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5d…5bc8backed Pistons | 60c | 41.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb79b…cf30backed Nets | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f7…c7fabacked Pistons | 43c | 25.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 52c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe178…e480backed Pistons | 45c | 22.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9021…bf4ebacked Nets | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.