TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c14,571$7,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,43129351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c11,434$5,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,949.159,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500.142,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c3,068$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.133,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over53c3,036$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.865151%26 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Over53c2,700$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43135450.8%180 W · 174 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under47c2,505$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.632,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c2,240$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.691,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under47c2,085$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.264,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over52c1,595$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.41,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c1,252$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.822,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c1,076$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c1,007$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.083,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c729.66$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.783,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f0b…8e1dbacked Over57c659.58$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.96825%2 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00d4…0a6abacked Under47c638.29$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.296756.7%38 W · 29 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under47c495.21$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b15…4c0fbacked Over56c480.89$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under66c456.35$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.3535942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over52c442.05$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over56c415.57$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.347047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2121,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over40c295.79$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.653,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef7…3eb0backed Under49c240.27$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c204$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.662,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over52c201.6$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3008…50d9backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.21450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed Over52c196.96$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4210448.1%50 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under55c191.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.5831144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036453%193 W · 171 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked Over52c144.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757040%28 W · 42 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under47c135.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.453,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under47c128.92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1348956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3397…f5abbacked Under44c123.21$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694055%22 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c21…80efbacked Over52c119.23$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under46c117.72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.461,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over55c109.09$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under49c102.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.655448.1%26 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Under45c101.49$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8243244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x354f…c6febacked Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Under76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2462347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5031155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e5…e2f4backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504932.7%16 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over53c96.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9810143.6%44 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under46c83.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over53c77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8117243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under50c75$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c70.59$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over52c70$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.449351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2256547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b0a…a4b8backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…17f0backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c55…7071backed Over57c45.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f95…1f16backed Over57c44.04$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251275%9 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf229…245dbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0957…54efbacked Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc1…1fd6backed Over57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over37c41.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d58…97cebacked Over56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over52c38.58$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043647.9%209 W · 227 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1164…e19cbacked Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Under52c38.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1540344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaed4…4cc9backed Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209439.4%37 W · 57 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x790d…2217backed Over52c37.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over59c37.15$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1855…f911backed Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x592d…644abacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d2b…fe49backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc99f…f2adbacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…9501backed Over57c33.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Under49c31.33$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9838347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Over53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.94040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under50c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7135049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…3315backed Over56c28.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd0c…6ef4backed Over57c28.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under50c22.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5557657.8%333 W · 243 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e7…ab94backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104436.4%16 W · 28 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd72c…1e72backed Over57c19.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.