TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,588 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x91db…26bdbacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,600475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.941,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Over51c6,318$3,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,222.465750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8c6…b5dabacked Over50c5,710$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c4,695$2,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,191.849,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under48c4,073$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,098.64,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb42a…4493backed Over46c4,050$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8631346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under52c3,984$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.476249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Over51c3,669$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.321,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c3,445$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,644.424,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6600…ee87backed Over50c3,056$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56046145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c2,972$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,545.232,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc158…3b0ebacked Under50c2,920$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,454366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f5…4441backed Over50c2,915$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efd…bd50backed Under50c2,890$1,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…5069backed Over50c2,890$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdc…639bbacked Over50c2,872$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd184…221bbacked Over50c2,846$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…596cbacked Under50c2,834$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2344…213abacked Under50c2,831$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,415.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8a…9ea0backed Under50c2,817$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.5683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+64.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c1c…d2abbacked Under50c2,763$1,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9003…ba4bbacked Under50c2,754$1,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2377…a0f5backed Over50c2,750$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc981…6613backed Over50c2,731$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5413…9255backed Under50c2,708$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bab…ad19backed Under50c2,700$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c8…10c1backed Under50c2,694$1,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbd7…2b9bbacked Under50c2,685$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc34a…69b6backed Over50c2,673$1,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,336.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd225…16b5backed Over50c2,648$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32430%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c33…a52dbacked Under50c2,641$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+32%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01bf…549cbacked Over50c2,635$1,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc5…9543backed Over50c2,591$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ad…123abacked Over50c2,582$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb725…80b0backed Under50c2,568$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb585…504cbacked Over50c2,558$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x022e…8fb4backed Over50c2,547$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Under49c2,500$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27512547.2%59 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d2…83c7backed Under50c2,489$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cee…9e69backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8250954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb42…48ccbacked Under49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.822748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f3…2459backed Under50c1,900$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9502100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+94.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b33…1a8abacked Under50c1,710$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Under49c1,616$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.1658347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c1,591$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.772,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under49c1,031$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.7739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3721852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under49c882.08$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.8651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f89…8ed0backed Under49c816.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.335042%21 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over45c615.79$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.114,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c546.46$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.548,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Over46c431.25$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.382133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Over52c423.08$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22030452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over46c410.87$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18915141.1%62 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under53c401$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.471,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Under49c351.02$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0210255.9%57 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c321.45$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.53,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Under54c299.98$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ba…df83backed Under55c240$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over54c211.67$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.353,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb871…9f15backed Under55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9059144.5%263 W · 328 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10237750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c199.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c199.97$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9941052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Under55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8290957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c117.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Over51c112$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1254351.6%280 W · 263 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.573,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4942551.3%218 W · 207 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0a…6b9fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.30per pick40cpaid-76.6%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116052.5%84 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44d…389dbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4941354%223 W · 190 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c99.87$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8755533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Under55c98.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1845651.1%233 W · 223 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbc…b637backed Over46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4017331.8%55 W · 118 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-27.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Over50c80.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014450%72 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over50c68.32$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.161,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Over47c64.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3343244%190 W · 242 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over49c55.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over47c53.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0417949.2%88 W · 91 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4532853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfedd…32c4backed Under49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.829655.2%53 W · 43 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ed4…620ebacked Under54c31.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6431155%171 W · 140 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Over52c31.15$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.228856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b54…ea13backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.237959.4%225 W · 154 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Under52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8533552.8%177 W · 158 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd3…afd8backed Under49c27.96$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.262857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3494…04f4backed Under54c27.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7735049.4%173 W · 177 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe98b…d3bebacked Under49c25.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0111553%61 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.