TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-13.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,375

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Nets49c80,135$39,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,164.6243148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Pistons51c70,472$35,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,531.511,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pistons48c28,856$13,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,098.0836359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Nets54c19,935$10,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,764.6338253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Nets49c16,495$8,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,082.551,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Pistons49c15,807$7,757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,049.4520055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d8…c306backed Pistons46c15,329$7,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,277.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Pistons51c12,348$6,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,050.442,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nets52c8,584$4,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,457.49,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons51c7,899$4,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,848.952,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2219…e243backed Pistons51c4,903$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,402.65646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nets50c4,872$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.914,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons55c4,768$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,146.0623435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf886…c02fbacked Pistons46c4,757$2,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.85633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets45c4,456$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,005.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Pistons52c4,037$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Nets49c3,460$1,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.224,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Nets51c3,358$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.763,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Nets49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47037944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Nets49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1001,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Nets49c2,075$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,016.3166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Pistons51c1,682$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.181,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Nets49c1,632$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.681,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pistons49c1,515$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.6571547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons52c1,442$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.3165339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nets19c1,355$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Nets50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nets48c1,005$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54040947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Pistons47c738.79$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5654747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Pistons51c613.9$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Nets49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30068542.6%292 W · 393 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Nets18c602$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.382,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Nets50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Pistons53c566.04$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.045865.5%38 W · 20 L+9.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Nets23c510.06$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.882,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons52c504.69$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.251,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nets49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2452,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Nets48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nets49c493.23$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.533,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Nets48c460$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.922138%84 W · 137 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Pistons69c436.1$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.16663.6%42 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3a5…0a1abacked Pistons48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets51c391.1$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.83,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Pistons53c373.58$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.5862546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Nets12c370$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.31,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf87b…180abacked Nets51c300$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15316539.4%65 W · 100 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa885…84debacked Pistons47c300$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.78856.8%50 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Nets51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Pistons50c276.14$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2726839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Pistons50c270$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets51c208.03$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Nets17c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321642.1%91 W · 125 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Nets53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10081845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Nets53c113.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nets41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4127247.8%130 W · 142 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Pistons46c99.99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5452844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Nets48c99.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Pistons41c87.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.816745.5%76 W · 91 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Pistons47c85.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.691,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Pistons47c76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.281,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e0…4d8fbacked Pistons49c73.47$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4765950.8%335 W · 324 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf23…ee81backed Pistons51c71.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.174351.2%22 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+37.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Pistons54c71.08$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.753149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…e1f5backed Nets54c70$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9949351.7%255 W · 238 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c04…2e2dbacked Nets54c62.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3450648%243 W · 263 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Pistons52c60.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0420448.5%99 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba35…92bdbacked Pistons48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225930.5%79 W · 180 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da1…c13bbacked Nets53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.842146.1%194 W · 227 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Nets46c56.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2939736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Nets46c55.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.53,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Nets54c54.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3540960.6%248 W · 161 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Pistons46c52$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.081,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Nets52c50.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.387453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635b…195dbacked Nets52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2638252.4%200 W · 182 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pistons51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0232853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Pistons51c47.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2217750.8%90 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf752…9400backed Pistons49c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.464100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+111.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecf2…a937backed Nets52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b37…d7e9backed Nets53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011938.7%46 W · 73 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8677…4d2cbacked Nets54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015643.6%68 W · 88 L-8.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb856…a9bcbacked Nets46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed95…889cbacked Nets47c35.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8619750.3%99 W · 98 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa05…b4e3backed Pistons49c33$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa07…f2cebacked Nets52c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.12650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9487…54bbbacked Nets49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516935.5%60 W · 109 L-16.9wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x04fd…36bebacked Nets52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9f…bd6fbacked Pistons52c28.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694d…b251backed Pistons49c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.28580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+78.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb58c…5fc5backed Pistons55c27.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.441030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-48.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…2d57backed Nets48c26.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8614154.6%77 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Nets54c25.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1459948.4%290 W · 309 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Pistons51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2541048.3%198 W · 212 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…9ae0backed Pistons53c24.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6538347%180 W · 203 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Nets52c24.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.629645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e7…1872backed Pistons54c22.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.122142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2745…a5fbbacked Nets48c20.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.074040%16 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Nets52c19.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1412560%75 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Pistons75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.757150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.