NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x792a0b9ec088d12de1251cc5d0a5be73b24b626c28cef9e7c2cc40614c72ed0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $274,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $280,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Pistons | 52c | 66,037$34,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,493.83 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Pistons | 53c | 41,133$21,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,332.51 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Nets | 47c | 21,389$10,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,052.88 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Nets | 47c | 21,356$10,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,114.63 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…2ad2backed Pistons | 51c | 15,900$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x088b…bce1backed Nets | 49c | 15,900$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…8e43backed Pistons | 51c | 15,900$8,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,791 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…9041backed Nets | 49c | 15,900$7,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,791 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Nets | 52c | 12,551$6,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,491.21 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Pistons | 50c | 9,646$4,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.81 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Pistons | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,771.93 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Nets | 50c | 8,000$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.99 | 197 | 47.7%94 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb090…f028backed Pistons | 51c | 6,582$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,249.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Nets | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Pistons | 52c | 6,183$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,946.08 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…d3eabacked Nets | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Nets | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Pistons | 54c | 3,500$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pistons | 50c | 3,500$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Nets | 50c | 3,096$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,864$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Pistons | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Nets | 50c | 2,624$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.01 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Pistons | 50c | 2,510$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260.2 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…0abbbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,429$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pistons | 50c | 2,253$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Nets | 48c | 2,166$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Nets | 49c | 2,077$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.96 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nets | 47c | 2,041$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.18 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Pistons | 53c | 1,941$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.35 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nets | 47c | 1,922$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.34 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ad…123abacked Pistons | 51c | 1,879$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,745$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.1 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Nets | 50c | 1,718$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.78 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…549cbacked Pistons | 51c | 1,657$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc617…a854backed Pistons | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 426 | 48.1%205 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Pistons | 50c | 1,407$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.82 | 179 | 53.1%95 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…a0f5backed Nets | 49c | 1,211$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…5069backed Nets | 49c | 1,203$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nets | 43c | 1,163$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.62 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Nets | 47c | 1,140$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.17 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pistons | 51c | 1,136$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.02 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…213abacked Nets | 49c | 1,053$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Pistons | 51c | 1,029$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Nets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Pistons | 50c | 942.86$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.86 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Nets | 47c | 942.06$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.68 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…80b0backed Nets | 49c | 923$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…16b5backed Nets | 49c | 862$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…bd50backed Pistons | 51c | 824$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons | 49c | 816$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.16 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…6613backed Pistons | 51c | 812$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…83c7backed Nets | 49c | 774$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Pistons | 50c | 682.74$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.37 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nets | 47c | 628$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.16 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Nets | 47c | 597.29$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Nets | 50c | 585.79$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 44c | 570.08$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.83 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Nets | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8a…9ea0backed Pistons | 51c | 477$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Pistons | 51c | 470.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.59 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…d0e2backed Pistons | 54c | 462.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.87 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +9.4wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Nets | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 323 | 46.4%150 W · 173 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Nets | 47c | 421$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Pistons | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…a52dbacked Pistons | 51c | 377$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Nets | 51c | 376.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Nets | 45c | 362.85$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.95 | 221 | 38%84 W · 137 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Pistons | 51c | 358.82$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nets | 50c | 349$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nets | 48c | 342.12$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.98 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Nets | 45c | 305.33$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Nets | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3277…be5fbacked Nets | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…3dd2backed Pistons | 56c | 285.71$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Pistons | 55c | 259.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Pistons | 56c | 225$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…57c8backed Nets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…2080backed Pistons | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 248 | 50%124 W · 124 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Nets | 47c | 191.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Pistons | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9069…9c14backed Pistons | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 48c | 175$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Pistons | 51c | 167.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Pistons | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nets | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nets | 47c | 143.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Nets | 45c | 142.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Nets | 49c | 125.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Pistons | 51c | 124.41$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Pistons | 52c | 123.66$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nets | 49c | 122.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nets | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Nets | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…c6febacked Pistons | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Nets | 50c | 96.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.33 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.