NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b2707d00e465a2155fd07217ecaa8c73a86bb9b32a1d84df80501e59b0e8dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 49c | 25,000$12,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,242.66 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 52c | 11,603$6,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.92 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 10,379$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 49c | 10,008$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.8 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 52c | 9,999$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.6 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…b46ebacked Over | 52c | 8,613$4,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,478.72 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 48c | 7,094$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,688.75 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 53c | 4,933$2,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.51 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Over | 50c | 4,340$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…4493backed Over | 48c | 3,752$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20f…3b33backed Over | 48c | 2,662$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.76 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 2,245$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Under | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Under | 52c | 1,722$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.16 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 1,452$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Under | 51c | 1,444$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.4 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 1,352$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.85 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Over | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.4 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 1,101$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.5 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 80c | 861.08$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 51c | 799.97$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.99 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Under | 47c | 779.59$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.18 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 761.22$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 38c | 703.72$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 698$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.02 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 686.08$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.05 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 52c | 675$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 490.06$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…a03dbacked Over | 48c | 313.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 266.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 52c | 232.06$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 46c | 230.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.51 | 196 | 47.4%93 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 48c | 225$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Over | 48c | 210.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.01 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Under | 52c | 190.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.57 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 179.24$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a9…565cbacked Over | 53c | 176.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 175.31$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 52c | 173.16$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 48c | 148.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…2d4ebacked Over | 49c | 115.57$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 113.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 46c | 105.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.31 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Over | 49c | 100.07$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 92.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 92.07$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 50c | 80.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 65.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked Under | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 48.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…7dc1backed Over | 48c | 40.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…97cebacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Under | 51c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under | 54c | 27.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb56…efa6backed Under | 53c | 24.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 46c | 22.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked Over | 49c | 22.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…c8fbbacked Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5this page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
- Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Cam Thomas: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Michael Porter Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Nets vs. PistonsPistons won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 215.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5Under won
- Nets vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5Under won
- Nicolas Claxton: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Ron Holland II: Points O/U 8.5No won
- Spread: Pistons (-12.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-13.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-14.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-17.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-23.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.