NBA · resolved market
Spread: Hornets (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb7ca7870f8e174b215e51397c934345ed7ac14fd05bf9f77ee2c5a401087168
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wizardsof Hornets, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $293,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Wizards | 42c | 80,000$33,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,600 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Hornets | 58c | 60,310$34,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,979.86 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Hornets | 57c | 43,875$24,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,917.08 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Wizards | 42c | 34,661$14,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,117.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,999.99 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Hornets | 59c | 19,103$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,271.01 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…8573backed Hornets | 51c | 16,227$8,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,275.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets | 53c | 14,222$7,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,537.66 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Hornets | 55c | 13,907$7,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,647.13 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Wizards | 47c | 12,000$5,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Wizards | 45c | 10,000$4,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hornets | 57c | 9,438$5,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.72 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards | 46c | 8,847$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,774.14 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…b291backed Wizards | 49c | 6,152$3,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,137.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…234fbacked Wizards | 49c | 6,036$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.58 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Hornets | 58c | 5,115$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.69 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hornets | 56c | 5,011$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.14 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.98 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…49b6backed Wizards | 49c | 4,039$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.83 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd311…076cbacked Hornets | 54c | 3,652$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Wizards | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hornets | 54c | 2,840$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.59 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899a…2a22backed Wizards | 46c | 2,717$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.39 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8147…4c5cbacked Hornets | 54c | 2,574$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hornets | 60c | 2,465$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.33 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Wizards | 46c | 2,415$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.22 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…99afbacked Hornets | 54c | 2,356$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x021e…fc34backed Wizards | 46c | 2,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7948…01b9backed Wizards | 46c | 2,323$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6e…02e3backed Wizards | 46c | 2,155$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…3deabacked Wizards | 46c | 2,125$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6b…ad76backed Wizards | 46c | 2,121$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6713…026abacked Hornets | 54c | 2,109$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1806…0ce8backed Wizards | 46c | 2,072$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x242e…58d8backed Hornets | 54c | 2,040$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d6…b0e6backed Wizards | 46c | 2,012$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x472d…5e89backed Hornets | 54c | 2,011$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Hornets | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…6e88backed Hornets | 54c | 1,916$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Wizards | 43c | 1,889$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.74 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Hornets | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hornets | 1c | 1,746$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Hornets | 54c | 1,643$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.95 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a6…cff6backed Wizards | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…4ce7backed Hornets | 54c | 1,470$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…0370backed Wizards | 46c | 1,430$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…9cc2backed Hornets | 54c | 1,420$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe412…92c8backed Wizards | 46c | 1,297$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5993…33a2backed Hornets | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Hornets | 48c | 1,049$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.74 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Hornets | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Wizards | 44c | 915$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Hornets | 54c | 836.85$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.78 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Hornets | 59c | 800$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 50c | 765.45$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.36 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards | 47c | 650$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.5 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Wizards | 50c | 600.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.73 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Hornets | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hornets | 51c | 477.34$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.44 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Wizards | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Hornets | 57c | 472$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.04 | 206 | 51%105 W · 101 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Wizards | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Hornets | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Wizards | 49c | 389.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hornets | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Wizards | 46c | 291.04$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Wizards | 49c | 252.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.65 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Hornets | 60c | 250.13$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Wizards | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Wizards | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1d…4773backed Hornets | 57c | 231.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Hornets | 25c | 220.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Hornets | 57c | 220$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Hornets | 59c | 189.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Hornets | 58c | 185.5$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Wizards | 46c | 180$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Wizards | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hornets | 59c | 169.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Hornets | 56c | 162.87$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e9…e609backed Wizards | 46c | 162$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Wizards | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…637fbacked Wizards | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 531 | 49.3%262 W · 269 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 46c | 147.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hornets | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Wizards | 42c | 141$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ceb…7011backed Wizards | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…9dc3backed Hornets | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c3…bf74backed Wizards | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Hornets | 57c | 107.71$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.76 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6b…1fdebacked Hornets | 57c | 104.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Wizards | 49c | 103.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Hornets | 54c | 101.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Hornets | 60c | 100.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Wizards | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Hornets | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hornets | 60c | 94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Wizards | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 323 | 47.1%152 W · 171 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked Hornets | 56c | 69.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 243 | 63.8%155 W · 88 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Hornets | 58c | 69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.