NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Hornets

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x600a8fe5cd3ce1aff6429d44c82c9c50eb9140baee98d6f877bf33f645b8c519

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hornetsof Wizards, Hornets
Resolved: Jan 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,629,209
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,635,802

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,629,209 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2e69…858dbacked Wizards	19c	196,822$37,396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,396.26	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	18c	122,493$22,524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,523.67	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Wizards	18c	122,237$22,501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,501.47	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Wizards	1c	51,002$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.01	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe686…13cbbacked Wizards	19c	50,000$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Wizards	18c	37,093$6,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,498.75	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Wizards	18c	30,000$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,400	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wizards	19c	28,747$5,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,566.63	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wizards	20c	28,125$5,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,616.9	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	18c	25,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wizards	15c	23,185$3,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,482.99	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Hornets	80c	20,221$16,177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,044.18	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	19c	18,500$3,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,519.99	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Wizards	21c	18,175$3,804 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,804.18	2,169	40.8%885 W · 1,284 L	-8.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Wizards	20c	15,263$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Wizards	18c	12,000$2,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,140	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	11,040$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	20c	7,710$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.36	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	21c	7,100$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.5	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Wizards	18c	6,917$1,270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,270	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8a0…35b6backed Wizards	19c	6,854$1,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300.65	153	48.4%74 W · 79 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Wizards	18c	6,438$1,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,158.92	773	48.5%375 W · 398 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards	10c	6,416$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.78	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Hornets	80c	6,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200	589	51.3%302 W · 287 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Hornets	79c	5,894$4,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,255.58	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Wizards	21c	5,707$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,198.47	357	47.1%168 W · 189 L	-8.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7deb…2682backed Wizards	19c	5,263$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2680…9c34backed Wizards	18c	5,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Wizards	20c	5,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Hornets	80c	4,792$3,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958.34	204	54.9%112 W · 92 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Hornets	80c	4,432$3,546 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.49	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Wizards	11c	4,270$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.55	143	34.3%49 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Wizards	1c	4,199$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.17	1,132	17%192 W · 940 L	+2.5wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed Wizards	24c	4,146$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.01	64	32.8%21 W · 43 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	12c	4,049$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$491.04	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac53…6133backed Wizards	19c	4,000$754 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$754	100	50%50 W · 50 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Wizards	21c	3,983$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.49	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdec1…28bdbacked Wizards	21c	3,819$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$811.97	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Wizards	15c	3,599$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.05	502	39%196 W · 306 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x490e…73adbacked Wizards	11c	3,363$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.71	94	24.5%23 W · 71 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	19c	3,158$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wizards	0c	3,109$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	1,035	1.1%11 W · 1,024 L	-24.4wins	-0.02per pick	3cpaid	-90.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Wizards	20c	3,035$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$606.93	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Wizards	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7130…a163backed Wizards	20c	2,959$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.58	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Wizards	18c	2,823$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards	8c	2,730$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.62	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x792b…146abacked Wizards	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	233	43.3%101 W · 132 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets	80c	2,432$1,940 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.1	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Wizards	17c	2,380$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.12	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1bab…cf38backed Wizards	21c	2,213$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.79	98	59.2%58 W · 40 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Wizards	19c	2,105$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	400	41.5%166 W · 234 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	20c	2,038$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Wizards	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	461	45.6%210 W · 251 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f26…c83bbacked Wizards	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	102	26.5%27 W · 75 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0513…0fdebacked Wizards	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	19c	2,000$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff5b…c583backed Hornets	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	208	47.6%99 W · 109 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…32a1backed Wizards	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	100	41%41 W · 59 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Hornets	80c	2,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed Wizards	11c	1,999$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.75	219	23.7%52 W · 167 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Wizards	18c	1,983$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.91	228	36.4%83 W · 145 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Wizards	19c	1,923$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.36	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2953…5344backed Hornets	79c	1,905$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400.05	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Wizards	16c	1,838$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.72	115	55.7%64 W · 51 L	+8.6wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Wizards	20c	1,616$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.99	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Hornets	79c	1,610$1,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.17	277	58.8%163 W · 114 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wizards	11c	1,589$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.99	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wizards	2c	1,513$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	381	48.6%185 W · 196 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a65…fdb5backed Wizards	19c	1,500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	224	23.7%53 W · 171 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Wizards	19c	1,500$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	315	38.1%120 W · 195 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae1…faefbacked Wizards	18c	1,500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71a5…c3eabacked Wizards	20c	1,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	56	46.4%26 W · 30 L	-6.4wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Wizards	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	194	41.2%80 W · 114 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Wizards	19c	1,481$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.45	47	40.4%19 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed7a…a5f5backed Wizards	20c	1,400$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Wizards	14c	1,390$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.55	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ca…d1e8backed Hornets	80c	1,300$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.19per pick	45cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa427…1c5bbacked Wizards	20c	1,280$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Wizards	20c	1,278$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.6	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Wizards	20c	1,250$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Wizards	8c	1,193$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.7	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-4.8wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x899a…2a22backed Wizards	21c	1,190$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	172	41.9%72 W · 100 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf56a…fe7cbacked Wizards	18c	1,157$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.11	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.12per pick	49cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Wizards	20c	1,147$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.32	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Wizards	20c	1,130$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.78	244	58.2%142 W · 102 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Wizards	17c	1,106$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.32	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a1…7c0ebacked Wizards	21c	1,067$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	63	61.9%39 W · 24 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Wizards	19c	1,053$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	207	28.5%59 W · 148 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Wizards	20c	1,042$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.4	591	31.1%184 W · 407 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9526…8f87backed Wizards	2c	1,002$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards	19c	1,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	1,090	35.8%390 W · 700 L	+40.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Wizards	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	428	27.3%117 W · 311 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Wizards	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	379	30.6%116 W · 263 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d6…d1e3backed Wizards	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	199	49.7%99 W · 100 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe779…335ebacked Hornets	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	103	63.1%65 W · 38 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b2b…49bbbacked Wizards	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Wizards	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	401	27.2%109 W · 292 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed Wizards	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	211	39.8%84 W · 127 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Wizards	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Hornetsthis page
1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Wizards won
Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Wizards won
Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Hornets

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event