NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbe01abc9d65acc9d9a37ecaf4a79374e5fa275c9d33ea3a617992e62707437f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf42…d698backed Under | 48c | 206,235$99,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,864 | 170 | 31.8%54 W · 116 L | -24.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 199,717$102,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,866.43 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 10,068$5,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,034 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 9,580$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,698.22 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 50c | 6,080$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.2 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054e…f516backed Under | 47c | 5,587$2,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,625.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…958abacked Under | 47c | 5,425$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…5066backed Under | 47c | 5,021$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…68a0backed Under | 47c | 4,899$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…b332backed Under | 47c | 4,852$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…b002backed Under | 47c | 4,685$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,201.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…94f2backed Under | 47c | 4,533$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…0c99backed Under | 47c | 4,355$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…90b2backed Under | 47c | 4,287$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…c9aebacked Over | 53c | 4,247$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ee…d396backed Under | 47c | 4,057$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…45c5backed Under | 47c | 3,977$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 3,911$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.48 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…385cbacked Under | 47c | 3,852$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…71d1backed Over | 53c | 3,809$2,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,790.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…3daabacked Over | 53c | 3,588$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0d…482abacked Over | 53c | 3,587$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…5cf9backed Over | 53c | 3,467$1,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.49 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…ea5fbacked Over | 53c | 3,424$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,609.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…85eebacked Over | 53c | 3,355$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e0…13ebbacked Over | 53c | 3,232$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf5…54debacked Over | 53c | 3,166$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 50c | 3,101$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.47 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…ca36backed Over | 53c | 2,957$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…f0c3backed Under | 47c | 2,957$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Over | 51c | 2,941$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.18 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…205ebacked Over | 53c | 2,816$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 466 | 32.6%152 W · 314 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…43b5backed Over | 53c | 2,438$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 1,939$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.37 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Over | 54c | 1,878$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…83dfbacked Over | 53c | 1,768$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…e089backed Over | 53c | 1,652$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…2238backed Over | 53c | 1,561$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…44c5backed Over | 53c | 1,472$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…c61cbacked Over | 53c | 1,433$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.51 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…45d2backed Over | 53c | 1,352$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…6246backed Over | 53c | 1,257$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…1423backed Over | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…0095backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 45c | 933.92$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.91 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…d48fbacked Over | 53c | 895$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…189dbacked Over | 53c | 842$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 801.71$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.87 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…e746backed Over | 53c | 752$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…9303backed Over | 53c | 752$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5b…25ccbacked Over | 53c | 621$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…9aa7backed Over | 53c | 588$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…343abacked Over | 53c | 522$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Over | 52c | 417.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 207 | 28.5%59 W · 148 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…6c59backed Over | 53c | 377$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 46c | 361.81$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…738bbacked Over | 53c | 357$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf871…5cf5backed Over | 53c | 333$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…04e9backed Over | 54c | 319.67$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…fe0abacked Over | 54c | 313.63$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 279 | 43%120 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Over | 54c | 238.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.79 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 53c | 233.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 228.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Over | 52c | 209.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…7a4ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 50c | 206.33$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.96 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…2c98backed Over | 53c | 201$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd49e…5110backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 561 | 54.5%306 W · 255 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Under | 51c | 195.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 473 | 49%232 W · 241 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Over | 53c | 189.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…29dcbacked Over | 53c | 186$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 150 | 31.3%47 W · 103 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…8172backed Over | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bda…4282backed Over | 51c | 100.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 54c | 99.74$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 56c | 97.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Under | 43c | 94.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 689 | 40.2%277 W · 412 L | -54.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 51c | 93.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 251 | 44.2%111 W · 140 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…37e4backed Over | 53c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…18a9backed Over | 54c | 71.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 50c | 61.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…620ebacked Under | 50c | 60.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 311 | 55%171 W · 140 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Under | 50c | 60.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 329 | 52.9%174 W · 155 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 59.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Over | 57c | 52.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.