TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,951
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,951 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66cc…7135backed Over52c20,000$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,599.9921250.5%107 W · 105 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c10,517$5,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,067.982,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed6…e517backed Under48c6,336$3,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,041.281855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…343abacked Under49c5,568$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,728.32450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac9…45d2backed Under49c5,505$2,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,697.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3c2…e089backed Under49c5,442$2,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.58450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf60…d48fbacked Under49c5,367$2,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,629.83425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd739…29dcbacked Under49c5,363$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,627.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a3…37e4backed Under49c5,345$2,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4182…2c98backed Under49c5,334$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a95…a9eebacked Under49c5,314$2,604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf871…5cf5backed Under49c5,232$2,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,563.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95dd…9aa7backed Under49c5,215$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,555.35425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d6…9303backed Under49c5,172$2,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,534.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7024…2f0cbacked Under49c5,096$2,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.04425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over53c4,873$2,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,290.0834654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over49c4,539$2,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,316.1748347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2951,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under53c4,000$2,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1182,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c2,213$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1111,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Under50c2,099$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.0535747.1%168 W · 189 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa810…44c5backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf5…54debacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d7…43b5backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bb6…205ebacked Over51c1,986$1,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74c7…6c59backed Over51c1,985$1,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+66.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0c2…71d1backed Over51c1,975$1,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.75450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d05…0c99backed Over51c1,948$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x054e…f516backed Over51c1,932$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x439a…ea5fbacked Over51c1,908$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c3…6246backed Over51c1,879$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.71475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc334…1423backed Over51c1,865$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.85683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+63.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4033…90b2backed Over51c1,851$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ddd…2238backed Over51c1,849$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.01450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6de3…8172backed Over51c1,802$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb01b…3daabacked Over51c1,800$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0d…482abacked Over51c1,796$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb0b…5066backed Over51c1,794$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ded…5cf9backed Over51c1,784$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20e0…13ebbacked Over51c1,779$907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa58c…385cbacked Over51c1,757$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.93425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6165…94f2backed Over51c1,745$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.05425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3fb…c61cbacked Over51c1,738$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.627100%7 W · 0 L+3.4wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xba09…e746backed Over51c1,715$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.35475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb96…b332backed Over51c1,710$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$837.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…68a0backed Over51c1,703$869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.47425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5b…25ccbacked Over51c1,694$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ee…a196backed Over51c1,691$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.59475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3770…189dbacked Over51c1,649$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8c…958abacked Over51c1,640$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.6650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ee…d396backed Over51c1,625$829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$796.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…85eebacked Over51c1,617$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3de…b002backed Over51c1,593$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x984f…c9aebacked Over51c1,568$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.32560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x835e…45c5backed Over51c1,533$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa724…83dfbacked Over51c1,523$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.274100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62e1…738bbacked Over51c1,519$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+48.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012051.7%62 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under51c723.78$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6222836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c650.98$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.583,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c599.99$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over53c568.4$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1580653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25061740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c488.07$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.649,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over52c463.29$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.393,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over49c463$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.132,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Over52c287.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Over53c232.55$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.355751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10428348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbf…4ec0backed Over51c155.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.085858.6%34 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x10ef…5b70backed Under50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over48c125.08$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.611,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over49c118.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2762541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a44…5e33backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055533.5%186 W · 369 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47b…1b4bbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4935739.8%142 W · 215 L-25.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Under53c92.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.15658.9%33 W · 23 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Over53c86.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2752460.1%315 W · 209 L+35.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+32.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.853,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfca7…96febacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc276…0031backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeebe…06b4backed Under49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Over49c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1813339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Under48c52.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3653043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.029958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5256…4973backed Under52c46.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under49c46.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5892750.6%469 W · 458 L-1.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over48c44.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3637652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Under52c32.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714728.6%42 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eaa…3ea5backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1522655.3%125 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d19…e2fdbacked Under48c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.45961%36 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee1…377abacked Under50c29.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.843342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbff8…7073backed Over50c29.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6410842.6%46 W · 62 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over48c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4339041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93df…cd6ebacked Under51c27.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.241764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7509…23afbacked Over55c27.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.