NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x455886cf93d54c867e36b7fbbd91336011c33817238085f2089c95afef0e4817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Under | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.98 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 49c | 19,494$9,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984.54 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Over | 4c | 12,881$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,386.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Over | 50c | 8,577$4,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,318.31 | 483 | 47.2%228 W · 255 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…83dfbacked Over | 48c | 5,609$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62e1…738bbacked Over | 48c | 5,530$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ee…a196backed Over | 48c | 5,521$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 47c | 5,451$2,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870.54 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…8172backed Over | 48c | 5,328$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba09…e746backed Over | 48c | 5,319$2,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fb…c61cbacked Over | 48c | 5,272$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.44 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3770…189dbacked Over | 48c | 5,272$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,741.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…44c5backed Over | 48c | 5,255$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5b…25ccbacked Over | 48c | 5,170$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc334…1423backed Over | 48c | 5,147$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,676.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74c7…6c59backed Over | 48c | 5,011$2,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…6246backed Over | 48c | 4,959$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a6…a8a0backed Under | 52c | 3,812$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3903…7729backed Under | 52c | 3,763$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…16acbacked Over | 48c | 3,352$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…0aabbacked Over | 48c | 3,212$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a1…cbc7backed Over | 48c | 3,120$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Under | 53c | 3,080$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.39 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf6…7012backed Over | 48c | 3,012$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500d…560cbacked Over | 48c | 2,919$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84fe…80febacked Over | 48c | 2,857$1,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffa2…ca36backed Under | 52c | 2,855$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…f0c3backed Over | 48c | 2,855$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…172ebacked Over | 48c | 2,808$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…cc4bbacked Over | 48c | 2,774$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2618…01dcbacked Under | 52c | 2,756$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…d6bfbacked Over | 48c | 2,747$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fc…b168backed Under | 52c | 2,741$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…773fbacked Under | 52c | 2,727$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…e392backed Over | 48c | 2,717$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2723backed Over | 48c | 2,701$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…1011backed Over | 48c | 2,701$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…564bbacked Over | 48c | 2,616$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ed…5b71backed Over | 48c | 2,616$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…9c7fbacked Over | 48c | 2,585$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3997…4d22backed Under | 52c | 2,574$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a77…9e40backed Under | 52c | 2,574$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…6786backed Over | 48c | 2,567$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…153bbacked Under | 52c | 2,567$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273f…94d8backed Over | 48c | 2,560$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…bc49backed Over | 48c | 2,556$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5000…4834backed Over | 48c | 2,555$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0170…8945backed Under | 52c | 2,553$1,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7da1…6572backed Over | 48c | 2,545$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…c0c7backed Under | 52c | 2,542$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d06…84fabacked Over | 48c | 2,542$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…369bbacked Under | 52c | 2,539$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e6…d2bfbacked Over | 48c | 2,536$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3231…892cbacked Under | 52c | 2,536$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7212…8713backed Under | 52c | 2,529$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…5342backed Over | 48c | 2,524$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…349abacked Under | 52c | 2,523$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c73…3e90backed Over | 48c | 2,523$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b2…f35abacked Over | 48c | 2,363$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ab…f182backed Under | 52c | 2,356$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2a…6079backed Over | 48c | 2,339$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…0cdebacked Over | 48c | 2,336$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a8…d64fbacked Over | 48c | 2,214$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…d066backed Over | 48c | 2,078$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1ca0backed Over | 48c | 2,044$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.88 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…2682backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…69d9backed Under | 52c | 2,025$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090e…e9f3backed Over | 48c | 2,020$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x895f…c7a8backed Under | 52c | 2,011$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Over | 49c | 2,000$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.94 | 357 | 47.1%168 W · 189 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7024…2f0cbacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…94f2backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…5cf9backed Under | 52c | 1,993$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95dd…9aa7backed Under | 52c | 1,967$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb96…b332backed Under | 52c | 1,947$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…9303backed Under | 52c | 1,936$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…85eebacked Under | 52c | 1,929$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…43b5backed Under | 52c | 1,924$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef1…65a7backed Under | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a2…68a0backed Under | 52c | 1,915$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…2238backed Under | 52c | 1,896$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…5066backed Under | 52c | 1,883$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…3daabacked Under | 52c | 1,872$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…385cbacked Under | 52c | 1,856$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 1c | 1,844$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d05…0c99backed Under | 52c | 1,837$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a95…a9eebacked Under | 52c | 1,823$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…71d1backed Under | 52c | 1,819$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fe…b5cebacked Under | 52c | 1,818$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…c9aebacked Under | 52c | 1,810$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 1,792$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.58 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac9…45d2backed Under | 52c | 1,785$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…21e2backed Under | 52c | 1,778$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ee…d396backed Under | 52c | 1,765$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…37e4backed Under | 52c | 1,760$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hornets (-6.5)Hornets won
- LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Hornets (-11.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Hornets (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. HornetsHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 231.5Over won
- Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.