Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21616f11a30fd76de280c1a95178adfba5c2972ac9899e2bfe68496a077ff9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 69c | 1,543$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.37 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,367$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.34 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 70c | 1,147$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 866.69$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.36 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 31c | 799.96$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.97 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 7c | 745$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 31c | 688$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.28 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 32c | 489.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Under | 41c | 486.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 66c | 455.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.68 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 26c | 224.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 74c | 216.42$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 36c | 189.87$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Under | 40c | 176.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 176.22$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 34c | 149$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 69c | 138$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Over | 69c | 132$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b71…0e06backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 129.98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.89 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 39c | 102.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…9479backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 69c | 92.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 34c | 91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 89.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 30c | 70.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 69.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…e4bdbacked Under | 34c | 57.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 31c | 57.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed Under | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Under | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Over | 69c | 41.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 62c | 38.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…840ebacked Under | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…f32cbacked Over | 58c | 34.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 34.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Under | 45c | 32.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Over | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd283…51ecbacked Over | 69c | 22.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4929…99d2backed Over | 64c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Over | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -7.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 72c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.