Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b82a610186c7faa002e3c9fb4202c8518ea16760fa0bda9fd6e7774f64f451
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 14c | 1,202$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.27 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 1,190$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.24 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Over | 25c | 652.66$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Under | 80c | 626.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.09 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 19c | 373.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 25c | 299.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed Under | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 47c | 212.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 78c | 201$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…907abacked Over | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Over | 47c | 167.41$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…3a3bbacked Under | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 101$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 19c | 98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 15c | 94.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 68c | 90.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Under | 78c | 82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2c…6aaebacked Over | 26c | 65.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 108 | 20.4%22 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…74dabacked Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Over | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 31c | 45.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 35c | 41.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Under | 79c | 25.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Under | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.