Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3486c68ef592342ca6ec88b95e91af31acfe446e3cffa512fcaf91b6d3c3361a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- strongboysof Inner Circle, strongboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked strongboys | 52c | 8,083$4,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,879.83 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76f…8536backed Inner Circle | 51c | 5,133$2,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,633.41 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked strongboys | 50c | 3,300$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 2,782$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.09 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Inner Circle | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked strongboys | 19c | 2,032$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.64 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…68eabacked Inner Circle | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -41%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Inner Circle | 49c | 1,644$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked strongboys | 49c | 1,500$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.5 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked strongboys | 45c | 1,325$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.72 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Inner Circle | 73c | 1,230$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.8 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Inner Circle | 3c | 1,200$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed Inner Circle | 7c | 1,200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed Inner Circle | 3c | 1,100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked strongboys | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.5 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…6255backed Inner Circle | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e13…391fbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 1,000$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle | 5c | 974.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed strongboys | 48c | 900$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed strongboys | 54c | 747.16$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.06 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Inner Circle | 46c | 710.17$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.75 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Inner Circle | 3c | 700$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 61 | 3.3%2 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17fd…976fbacked Inner Circle | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…7658backed strongboys | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 640.34$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed strongboys | 54c | 639.82$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.39 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked strongboys | 16c | 622.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.35 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b65…e344backed strongboys | 76c | 620.37$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Inner Circle | 48c | 583.33$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Inner Circle | 43c | 541.07$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.76 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Inner Circle | 50c | 536.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ca…87d1backed Inner Circle | 49c | 499.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.43 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed strongboys | 58c | 486.67$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed strongboys | 56c | 465.87$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.87 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…f087backed strongboys | 58c | 451.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.92 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…3365backed Inner Circle | 56c | 436.41$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.45 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked strongboys | 7c | 407.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.86 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad44…db14backed Inner Circle | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Inner Circle | 31c | 398.06$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Inner Circle | 52c | 388.36$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Inner Circle | 47c | 353.28$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed strongboys | 69c | 323.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.58 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…9ff7backed Inner Circle | 24c | 305$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed strongboys | 14c | 300.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.77 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked strongboys | 57c | 295.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.79 | 301 | 38.9%117 W · 184 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Inner Circle | 73c | 292.94$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed strongboys | 55c | 289.53$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.43 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked strongboys | 54c | 287.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked strongboys | 14c | 287.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.36 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed strongboys | 34c | 239.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.95 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Inner Circle | 48c | 234$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.32 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…3b0abacked strongboys | 44c | 227.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Inner Circle | 45c | 224.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 161 | 55.3%89 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed strongboys | 34c | 220$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.8 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa420…35bbbacked strongboys | 50c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked strongboys | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed strongboys | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed strongboys | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2e…5c89backed Inner Circle | 50c | 198.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Inner Circle | 53c | 197.45$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.36 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…bfdcbacked strongboys | 62c | 194.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked strongboys | 43c | 187.19$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.28 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed strongboys | 56c | 178.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Inner Circle | 44c | 172.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.82 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked strongboys | 60c | 167$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed strongboys | 55c | 148.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…ee8abacked Inner Circle | 50c | 146.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 145.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Inner Circle | 73c | 144.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked Inner Circle | 48c | 143.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…8c56backed Inner Circle | 70c | 140.33$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc762…0276backed strongboys | 53c | 135.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Inner Circle | 48c | 127.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed strongboys | 61c | 123.28$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 118 | 45.8%54 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Inner Circle | 49c | 115.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.72 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0cb5backed strongboys | 38c | 105.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Inner Circle | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Inner Circle | 47c | 101.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Inner Circle | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…e43ebacked strongboys | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Inner Circle | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c0…db84backed strongboys | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked strongboys | 43c | 94.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…2b47backed Inner Circle | 61c | 92.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Inner Circle | 59c | 87.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Inner Circle | 52c | 77.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked Inner Circle | 29c | 75.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Inner Circle | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Inner Circle | 23c | 68.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked strongboys | 53c | 64.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked strongboys | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed strongboys | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Inner Circle | 34c | 56.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed strongboys | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed strongboys | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked strongboys | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…ab10backed Inner Circle | 41c | 46.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…32bebacked strongboys | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -11.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Inner Circle | 44c | 44.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys - Game 1 Winnerstrongboys won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs strongboys - Game 2 WinnerInner Circle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.