Champions League · resolved market
Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026f458db0b4e8c6337055c51cca9e435fef199259dd009bcf641a6f4505b124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 20c | 2,740$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.32 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…7070backed Under | 78c | 2,000$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 12c | 1,384$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.01 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b3…5c29backed Under | 12c | 1,295$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a6…a6d3backed Under | 79c | 1,197$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 21c | 1,131$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.3 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 19c | 1,122$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.69 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 10c | 1,017$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.93 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…8e4bbacked Under | 80c | 911.49$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.19 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 40cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 20c | 672$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.6 | 434 | 27.4%119 W · 315 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 20c | 660$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…245dbacked Under | 79c | 466$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Over | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 79c | 239.12$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.9 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 24c | 209$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0052…4d9ebacked Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +10.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 13c | 196.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 70 | 27.1%19 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Under | 80c | 191.51$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…29dcbacked Under | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Under | 8c | 144.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 17c | 138.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 80c | 136.24$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Over | 21c | 120.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 79c | 119.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 65c | 108.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 25c | 100.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Over | 15c | 93.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 27c | 86.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.44 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 26c | 81.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 13c | 78.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 223 | 56.1%125 W · 98 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 19c | 77.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.96 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 20c | 70$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 80c | 27.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 76cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…3da8backed Under | 80c | 15.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 75c | 13.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2538…b975backed Under | 79c | 12.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -4.2wins | -0.52per pick | 65cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 4.5this page
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qairat FK vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Club Brugge KV (-1.5)Club Brugge KV won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.