Champions League · resolved market
Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f2432cbebdd0e1145cde5e334bf5d989d95a4f671f597207f0ded88065e22b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 8,001$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.53 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 73c | 6,035$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.04 | 338 | 51.5%174 W · 164 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 73c | 2,563$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.92 | 397 | 46.9%186 W · 211 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 28c | 2,342$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.71 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 1,137$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.11 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 792.42$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8d…854cbacked Over | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.37per pick | 47cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Over | 72c | 517$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.76 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 309.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 70c | 291.33$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 26c | 261.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 73c | 235.8$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 72c | 138.47$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Over | 77c | 122.77$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 23c | 122.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b9…640dbacked Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 67c | 89.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…386cbacked Over | 74c | 83.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…3262backed Over | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Under | 27c | 75.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…c9e9backed Over | 69c | 75.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 26c | 74.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 139 | 31.7%44 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ce…418cbacked Under | 15c | 73.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…f162backed Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 27c | 69.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 26c | 65.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 19c | 58.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af8…a095backed Over | 74c | 55.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f9…90eabacked Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…d4b0backed Under | 28c | 49.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef78…6e1bbacked Under | 27c | 46.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d1…4b1dbacked Under | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…0a9cbacked Under | 27c | 40.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…b97cbacked Under | 28c | 40.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…c8f3backed Under | 28c | 39.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +66%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a98…13cabacked Under | 28c | 38.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…d06dbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bd…5e2dbacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…743ebacked Over | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…b491backed Over | 74c | 20.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b2…d48bbacked Over | 74c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…101abacked Over | 74c | 19.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…c2e9backed Over | 74c | 19.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…71adbacked Over | 74c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x263e…2976backed Over | 74c | 16.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…0af6backed Over | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…6ca4backed Over | 74c | 16.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb228…d3c5backed Over | 73c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebfa…a293backed Over | 73c | 14.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…cf8bbacked Over | 74c | 14.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…4681backed Over | 73c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…7b0cbacked Over | 73c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e4…6fd7backed Over | 74c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 76c | 13.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atalanta BC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.